Page 1 of 1
MY SEVERE WX DISCUSSION:(March ,9-12)
Posted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 7:11 pm
by wxman22
DISCUSION:Seems like parts of the Southern plains, Mississippi Valley, & Teeneesee Valley could have some pretty roughf weather later next week. AS a strong CYCLONE pushes from the Rockies into the Southern Plains. Climatology these types of systems have been known to cause MAJOR severe weather outbreaks. And when I mean severe wx outbreak I mean several ROUNDS of severe weather or in other words instead of seeing one scroll line or MSC there could be several scroll lines or MSC's. With this type of event we could be talking about atleast 30+ Tornado reports if not MORE. And the intresting thing is this may not only be confined to the central parts of the U.S there may be severe wx as far south as the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast, of course I think the worst stuff will be to the north of us (Southeast Texas) but we could be issued in a moderate risk of severe wx by the time it's all said and done (Southeast Texas). Below is my map of the severe weather risk areas keep in mind this is likely to change. NOTE: This is NOT an official forcast from the SPC this is just my map:
Posted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:20 pm
by Weatherfreak14
I agee with you. The way these models are looking this could be a big tornado or at least a severe weather outbreak over IL,IN,MI,KY, and TN. moving more east on the 13th. possibly this whole situation looks like this will happen for the midwest on Sat the 12th. This is just my opinion on this possible outbreak.
Posted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:59 pm
by Extremeweatherguy
I have a flight on March 10th so all I can say is I hope that severe weather does not reach SE TX during that time! Any other time yes, but not this time!
It would be nice if it happened on the 9th though (as the 18Z GFS suggests)...I will be hoping for that scenario.
Posted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 8:38 am
by Weatherfreak14
Would be nice to happen on the 12th and 13th. By then I'll be in evansville all settled.
Posted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:12 pm
by Skywatch_NC
I'll be really excited when a big part of the Southeast can get it's first severe outbreak of the season!!
Heck with a non-substantial snow winter...at least bring ON the Spring SVR big time!
Eric
Posted: Sat Mar 04, 2006 2:29 pm
by jhamps10
Weatherfreak14 wrote:Would be nice to happen on the 12th and 13th. By then I'll be in evansville all settled.
Moving to Evansville huh, well here's a severe weather tip for ya there, Evansville sounds the sirens for ALL warnings, severe thunderstorm and torando warnings. when they go off next week, just tune the tv to any channel, or listen to the radio, they cover severe weather in evansville like folks down in torando alley.
Posted: Sat Mar 04, 2006 2:33 pm
by TexasStooge
I'm right smack-dab between the moderate and high risks!
Posted: Sat Mar 04, 2006 3:18 pm
by jhamps10
same here, I think that we could see our first High risk day from SPC next week. I agree that this storm system could prouduce 30+ torandoes, with a good chunk of them being strong torandoes. heck perfect week for Illinois' severe preparness week next week.
Posted: Sat Mar 04, 2006 3:48 pm
by Skywatch_NC
jhamps10 wrote:Weatherfreak14 wrote:Would be nice to happen on the 12th and 13th. By then I'll be in evansville all settled.
Moving to Evansville huh, well here's a severe weather tip for ya there, Evansville sounds the sirens for ALL warnings, severe thunderstorm and torando warnings. when they go off next week, just tune the tv to any channel, or listen to the radio, they cover severe weather in evansville like folks down in torando alley.
He'll just be seeing family there is all.
