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Where's the severe weather?

Posted: Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:37 pm
by Extremeweatherguy
Where is all the severe weather this week? It has been so cool throughout the plains and the east that nothing can get firing. I am hoping we see a good southern plains outbreak soon. I would love to get a good "true" thunderstorm in my area SOON! In my opinion a "true" thunderstorm includes wind gusts over 45mph, torential downpours (sometimes with hail), frequent or excessive CG lightning, and black billowing clouds that you can see coming from a distance. It has been so long since we have seen something like that. The best would be if we could get a nice night time lightning show. There is nothing like feeling the breeze of the storm inflow as you watch the billowing cloud explode with light in the distance. Then the storm moves toward you and the thunder becomes audible and a cool outflow gust wipes across. This is all followed by a pretty good rain shower and some loud thunder. Ahh...can't wait for something like that... 8-)

Posted: Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:45 pm
by wxmann_91
Two words, words that chasers dread...

Northwest flow

Not as important in the later months, but in early flow from the Gulf is crucial for svr - and this offshore flow will kill moisture across the CONUS for at least one more week.

Posted: Thu Mar 23, 2006 10:46 pm
by PTrackerLA
It would be nice to get some good thunderstorms. We were completely missed with the last system and things are drying up.

Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 7:41 am
by Extremeweatherguy
Image

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 AM CST FRI MAR 24 2006

VALID 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
IN MID/UPPER LEVELS...PROGRESSIVE PATTERN FCST TO EVOLVE THIS PERIOD
AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES ROTATE OUT OF NERN PACIFIC NEGATIVE HEIGHT
ANOMALY. OPERATIONAL SPECTRAL/UKMET/ECMWF...AS WELL AS VARIOUS
SPECTRAL MREF MEMBERS AGREE ON EWD MOVEMENT OF UPPER LOW OR STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS SWRN/CENTRAL CONUS -- A FEATURE NOW EVIDENT
IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OFFSHORE NRN WA AND BC. LACK OF DEEP
FRONTAL PENETRATION OF GULF...FOLLOWING CURRENT INTENSE
EPISODE...SHOULD ALLOW ROBUST MOIST SECTOR RETURN BY DAYS 6-7 AHEAD
OF THIS FEATURE...IN SUPPORT OF SVR POTENTIAL OVER BROAD ENOUGH AREA
FOR OUTLOOK.

..EDWARDS.. 03/24/2006

FINALLY!!

Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 11:03 pm
by HurricaneHunter914
I don't think we'll be getting that type of weather until hurricane season. Tell us all about the weather you get once it become EXTREME.