STORM2K

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 2:36 pm**

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1740
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0210 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS/NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 091910Z - 091945Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS ERN KS/NWRN MO AS A
SURFACE TROUGH MOVES SEWD INTO THIS REGION. WW MAY BE REQUIRED
SHORTLY.

18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM SERN
NEB SWWD INTO CENTRAL KS TO THE ERN OK PANHANDLE. AIR MASS EAST OF
THIS BOUNDARY HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE WITH THE CAP SHOWING SIGNS OF
WEAKENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CU FIELD
PER VIS IMAGERY. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES ALSO SHOW WEAKENING CIN ACROSS
CENTRAL/NERN KS. SRN EXTENT OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH... MOVING INTO
SWRN IA ATTM...IS SUPPORTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG SURFACE
TROUGH. LIGHTNING DATA INDICATES A FEW STRIKES DURING THE LAST HOUR
OVER CENTRAL KS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
SURFACE TROUGH DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES AND 30-40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTING ORGANIZED
STORMS.

..PETERS.. 07/09/2003

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

39099712 40169573 39439411 38169487 37309635 37599883
38529771

IF a watch is posted, I will post it, and radars. I'll let Harry take a break, i'll cover my area.

Watch this thread folks, you may see the infamous bubble. :o :roll:

David

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 3:00 pm**

I'm hoping that you get something good this time, David...

Good luck and keep us updated!

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 4:09 pm**

SOME CITIES IN THE WATCH ARE...

MEDICINE LODGE WICHITA EMPORIA
OTTAWA ABILENE LAWRENCE
JUNCTION CITY TOPEKA MANHATTAN
CLAY CENTER MARYSVILLE HIAWATHA
ARKANSAS CITY EL DORADO IOLA
MCPHERSON PRATT LEAVENWORTH
ATCHISON INDEPENDENCE CHANUTE
HUTCHINSON SALINA KANSAS CITY
OLATHE

IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 14 COUNTIES

GEARY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
DOUGLAS JOHNSON MORRIS
OSAGE MIAMI LYON
FRANKLIN CHASE COFFEY
LINN ANDERSON

JUST ISSUED, A WARNING!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
405 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHEASTERN OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 403 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF OAK HILL...OR ABOUT 23 MILES
WEST OF CLAY CENTER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
OAK HILL
LONGFORD
WAKEFIELD

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3931 9763 3917 9764 3912 9695 3937 9699
3931 9737

Radars to come...

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 4:11 pm**

TOPEKA, KANSAS RADAR:

OMAHA, NEBRASKA RADAR:

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 4:15 pm**

Topeka, Kansas Watches/Warnings/Advisories:

Current Watches:

SPC Watches/Warnings/Advisories:

SPC Radar:

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 4:29 pm**

Wow...David, looks like some nasty storms are firing to the NW of you...stay safe tonight...

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 4:55 pm**

Geez this is nuts for summertime... :o . Stay safe tonight David.

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 5:20 pm**

Well David it ceratinlly looks like your bubble is about to pop in a big way like mine has but possibly worse.............I think there may be more tornadoes with your storms this evening unlike mine...............Either way stay safe and let us know what happens................Expect alot better day tommorow..................

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 5:31 pm**

Latest Warnings...

KSC149-092300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
515 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 513 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3 MILES NORTH OF WHEATON TO 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF WESTMORELAND...OR FROM 28 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MARYSVILLE TO 11 MILES NORTH OF MANHATTAN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
WESTMORELAND
ONAGA
HAVENSVILLE

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS 15 MILES NORTH OF
MANHATTAN EARLIER.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3955 9639 3931 9662 3931 9604 3955 9604

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 6:11 pm**

New warnings:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
600 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL WABAUNSEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
SOUTHWESTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 558 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTH OF ST. GEORGE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES
EAST OF MANHATTAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
ST. GEORGE
LOUISVILLE
WAMEGO
BELVUE

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3943 9650 3912 9603 3911 9639 3921 9652
3933 9662

-----

KSC161-092330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
605 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN RILEY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 603 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MANHATTAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
MANHATTAN
RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST RILEY COUNTY

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3917 9650 3917 9645 3916 9640 3904 9638
3903 9649 3906 9650 3907 9665 3917 9670
3924 9656

$$

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 6:32 pm**

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1747.html

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 7:00 pm**

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
651 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR CENTRAL WABAUNSEE
COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 649 PM CDT...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN
ALMA...ABOUT 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
25 MPH. HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED ONE MILE WEST OF ALMA.

ESKRIDGE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

-----

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
657 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR WABAUNSEE COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 650 PM GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN ALMA. AT 656 PM
CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF ESKRIDGE...OR ABOUT 24 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

ESKRIDGE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 7:41 pm**

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
727 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR SOUTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE
COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 727 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR ESKRIDGE...OR ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TOPEKA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HARVEYVILLE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED 4 MILES NORTH OF ESKRIDGE 727 PM.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

-----------

I'm getting rain right now, nothing severe.

Now I have a severe thunderstorm bubble, and a snow bubble.

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:47 pm**

Looks nasty David! :o Keep us updated and stay safe!

Posted: **Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:59 pm**

Heavy thunderstorm here in the southeast metro area of KC.

Kristi

Posted: **Thu Jul 10, 2003 12:16 am**

Colin wrote:Looks nasty David! :o Keep us updated and stay safe!

Not trying to be mean, but how many times must you really say that? You've said almost the same thing in your last 2 posts....

Posted: **Thu Jul 10, 2003 4:09 pm**

LOL...any update on what you got? :roll:

Posted: **Thu Jul 10, 2003 4:48 pm**

Yes, I do.

.75 inches of rain.

Posted: **Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:39 pm**

Well, you got something...is that all you got? No thunder or lightning or anything?

Posted: **Thu Jul 10, 2003 10:57 pm**

No, I got about 58 strikes of lightning, a little less thunder, and a severe thunderstorm watch box. :o

STORM2K

Date: July 9 Topic: Severe Wx in Topeka, KS Possible

Date: July 9 Topic: Severe Wx in Topeka, KS Possible

Storming Here