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Southwest USA effects from Claudette(flash i made inside)

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 12:54 pm
by MonsoonDude
Click the link below for my forecast of the reminents of claudette for the SW USA...Showing that it may ride the high pressure in the four corners.

http://www.powow.com/sciencesky/claudette.html

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 1:21 pm
by Stephanie
Nothing comes up for me! :(

Actually

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 5:25 pm
by Aslkahuna
the 2003 Monsoon is already here according to Tucson NWS with the onset date being July 11th. The storm will have to track as forecast to come in here though on paper right now it looks good. Based upon what we got from Beryl a couple or so years ago, I can expect a good hefty squalline here and some chaseable storms.

Steve

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 7:36 pm
by weatherlover427
Given that I live 4 or so miles inland from the coast of southern California, and according to MonsoonDude's animation (remember he is my friend :D ), we could both see some rain from her remnants by Saturday morning. That would be great news. :D

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 8:27 pm
by Stephanie
Pretty cool graphic Dude! Maybe I just couldn't get it at my PC at work.

I think that Claudette maybe coming onshore alittle further north now, but that high pressure should still help to steer it in that general direction. We can only hope!

One Problem

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 8:31 pm
by Aslkahuna
is that Claudette is fighting shear which could have a detrimental effect upon the potential its remnants could bring to bear.

Steve

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 8:42 pm
by David
I don't think it'll be a TS all the way into western Texas... Lol... (He didn't change it to a red L)

Maybe it'll spin some moisture Kansas' way.

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 9:07 pm
by MonsoonDude
lol i know, but i didnt think anyone would just know the green blob than the storm symbol its self! ;),lol

Kev

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 9:29 pm
by Lindaloo
Hopefully that entity will get into Arizona and put out those fires. I am hoping anyway.

Posted: Mon Jul 14, 2003 9:59 pm
by weatherwunder
Stephanie, you probably need a flash player installed, or a plug-in that is in your browser.

Posted: Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:59 am
by Stephanie
Thanks Weatherwunder! :D

Ironically

Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2003 3:52 pm
by Aslkahuna
Claudette is still showing a better and more tightly wound circulation today past the Big Bend than it did during most of the time it was over water.

Steve

Re: Ironically

Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2003 4:30 pm
by Arizwx
Aslkahuna wrote:Claudette is still showing a better and more tightly wound circulation today past the Big Bend than it did during most of the time it was over water.

Steve


Steve..I mentioned early on her trek to the Yucatan that Claudette would hit Tejas as a Strong cat 1...the shallow eddy off the Gulf Coast and hot SSTs plus a nice Hi over her gave her the 'Mean Streak' that Sr Andrew displayed back in '92..albeit Andy was a badder boy.Much badder.
The NHC had a nice trophy to put up on the track...altho it seemed she was stubborn..the trof came on thru and threw her left,like a field goal kicker soccer style.The damage reports from the GALV area South are impressive for a Cat 1...and 97mph/111 G are unofficial..still the winds were dam impressive.The Storm Surge also.I'm not surprized at all that her circulation is intact..the 'Eye' was still well defined as she moved 40+inland.Now the Circ/Outflow shows clearly on the Unysis Wx Sfc loop that she is drawing massive amounts of moisture in from the GOMEX as we speak.IF this is the case...and we have plenty of drying out ahead of her +low/mid level moisture to recycle...we could have a disaster on our hands...RA amounts are still not being mentioned on the KTUS latest AFD of Spec Wx Statement..unacceptable for a system due in <19hrs.
The 'Casters are indeed having difficulty w/ RA amounts..I'll stick to 1.25-2.00in in the Valley and 3-5in up on the Mountain...not good at all!!!!!!
Any sudden 'bump' in the atmos could set off Tornadoes as well.The problem is exacerbated by a LACK of OBs from N MEX..as per usual.I've been B1tchin for yrs about the lack of cooperative efforts to get a handle on this...folks..NAFTA HAS the $$$!!!Some Remote Wx obs are NOT expensive!Shessh!Duh!The inflow from GOMEX is CLEAR on the Sat Loop.
hello NWS!Hello CNA!(national Mexican Atmos Meterologicos).K-Rist..they use the MM5 de Penn St down there still!WTF!Thats a WINTER MoD!
Wonder if the SPC has a Wx Sonde ready for TUS tonight?I sure as hell would.July Precip os only.55..so the soil is ready for a major runoff=FF.
Temp 108F/Dp 43/winds ese 12/clr