STORM2K

HIGH WIND WATCH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 PM EDT THU OCT 26 2006

...THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF DAMAGING WIND OVER PARTS OF RHODE ISLAND
AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS SATURDAY...

.THE REMAINS OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM FROM PACIFIC COMBINING WITH AN OUTBREAK
OF COLD AIR MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP A POWERFUL STORM HERE THIS WEEKEND.

MAZ005>007-013>024-RIZ001>008-270500-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0005.061028T1400Z-061028T2200Z/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...
TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...
NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
446 PM EDT THU OCT 26 2006

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
IT COVERS ALL OF RHODE ISLAND AND MUCH OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. IT
INCLUDES LAWRENCE...BOSTON...BROCKTON...PROVIDENCE...WESTERLY...NEW
BEDFORD...THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

A TWO TO 4 HOUR PERIOD OF SOUTHEASTERLY SQUALLS WILL BRING BRIEF
INTENSE SHOWERS TO RHODE ISLAND AND THE COASTAL PLAIN OF EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS. STRONGEST SOUTHEAST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 10 AM
AND 4 PM SATURDAY WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 60 MPH EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS
MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER WIND GUSTS DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
THEN AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO WEST LATE IN THE DAY MAY BE MARKED BY A
FEW MINUTES OF WIND GUSTS ALSO OF 45 TO 60 MPH.

WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH AT NIGHT BUT SUNDAY IS LIKELY TO SEE BLUSTERY
WEST WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON
HOURS.

THE COMBINATION OF THE WIND AND STILL PARTIALLY LEAFED TREES WILL
PROBABLY RESULT IN POCKETS OF BROKEN TREE LIMBS...POWER OUTAGES AND
POSSIBLY UPROOTED TREES.

IF CONFIDENCE IN THIS OUTLOOKED STORM CONTINUES TO GROW...ADVISORIES
OR WARNINGS WOULD BE ISSUED FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT SPOTTY DAMAGING WIND WILL OCCUR EVEN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON... ESPECIALLY IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY AND THE NORTHERN
TWO THIRDS OF MASSACHUSETTS INTO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING PROPERTY
DAMAGE. IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

$$

DRAG


Source: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/box/

Impressive setup underway. The AFD out of Taunton today is a mile long, so I won't post it all, but here are some highlights and the link. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/displayazone.php?product=BOSAFDBOX&version=0

THIS MERGER OF THE STREAMS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS PROCESS SETS EVERYTHING IN MOTION FOR SATURDAY...INCLUDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS LOW LEVEL JET.

A SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OF NEARLY 100 KNOTS WILL LIKELY FORM TO THE EAST OF THE LOW CENTER...WHICH WILL ACT TO DRAG ANOMALOUSLY HIGH VALUES OF PRECIPITABLE WATER NORTHWARD. THE RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY MORNING...WITH THUNDER EXPECTED.

SFC PRESSURE FALLS OF NEARLY 20MB PER 6 HR ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REGION BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z SATURDAY WHICH IS VERY IMPRESSIVE.

OVERALL...WE HAVE TO BE AWARE THAT A VERY ANOMALOUS STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...WHICH COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND HEAVY RAINS. SEVERE CONVECTION NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION EITHER IN WARM SECTOR ON SATURDAY...WHICH COULD COME IN THE FORM OF A THIN-LINE WHICH COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OF THEIR OWN AS THEY TAP THE 70-90 MPH WINDS ALOFT. GFS HAS STORM DOWN TO 973 MB AT THIS TIME ... WE THINK THERE WILL BE A PULSE OF G40 KTS IN WLY FLOW SAT EVENING ASSOCD WITH STG 850 MB CAA AND IMPRESSIVE PRESSURE RISE FALL COUPLET WHICH INCREASES FROM 23 TO 30 MB FROM 00-06Z.

We have one along the New Jersey and Delaware shoreline;

High Wind Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
436 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-272100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.HW.A.0001.061028T0600Z-061028T1500Z/
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...
HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
436 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE
A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM LATE TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS NEAR THE OCEAN, AS WELL AS
CLOSE TO THE RARITAN AND DELAWARE BAY SHORES, COULD BE HIGH ENOUGH
TO CAUSE SOME TREE LIMBS OR EVEN WEAK TREES TO COME DOWN.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES MAY ALSO RESULT.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS.

$$







--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
505 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-281000-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
505 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING, AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES AND PASSES TROUGH THE AREA.
WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 55 MILES AN HOUR LATE TONIGHT.

ALSO, HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF FLOOD- PRONE AREAS AND LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADS.

THERE MAY ALSO BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE HIGH WIND WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING, AS
STRONG WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 55 MILES AN HOUR SATURDAY
MORNING. WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR LATER SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.

RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY MORNING WILL TAPER OFF FROM LATE
MORNING SOUTH TO LATE AFTERNOON NORTH.

OTHERWISE, NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

Source: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?w ... Wind+Watch

I seen that Stephanie, I'm getting out of here early, not too partial to driving over the bridge in a driving rain!

HIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS
LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
LAST INTO SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE MID SOUTH
INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST NEXT TWO DAYS. A HIGH WIND
WATCH FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MAY BE NEEDED. WINDS WILL
ABATE SUNDAY EVENING.

ON THE WATERS... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
WATERS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

angelwing wrote:I seen that Stephanie, I'm getting out of here early, not too partial to driving over the bridge in a driving rain!

I'm just glad I don't have to work down here in Atlantic City tomorrow!

High Wind Watch in effect for MD,VA,WVa now..
..HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...AND NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND WESTERN MARYLAND.

STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO EASTERN CANADA WILL CREATE STRONG
SURFACE WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
POSSIBLE. WET GROUND FOLLOWING RAINFALL FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY WILL MAKE IT MORE LIKELY THAT TREES WILL FALL AS A RESULT
OF HIGH WIND GUSTS. MOTORISTS ARE REMINDED TO EXERCISE CAUTION
WHEN TRAVELING AS WIND GUSTS CAN AFFECT THE PATHS OF VEHICLES...
ESPECIALLY HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED TO SECURE
ANY OBJECTS IN THEIR YARDS WHICH COULD BLOW AWAY.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS. IF DAMAGING WINDS BECOME IMMINENT...A HIGH WIND
WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

We've got the rain - I'm sure that the wind isn't that far behind!

It's pouring here at the hospital!

Stephanie wrote:We've got the rain - I'm sure that the wind isn't that far behind!

it's pouring down here too...

angelwing wrote:It's pouring here at the hospital!

Hope you're leaving soon so you don't caught on the bridge in the wind.

No problem tonight, I'm in Philly no need to cross any bridges:) Only 8 miles away from home, I left NJ at 1PM so I could avoid this mess, told the boss I wasn't gonna risk getting stuck on the base, she said no problem it's Friday anyway

Just gonna take my time when I leave later, there are a lot of idiots out there

Wait, referring to the original post... tropical system from Pacific? Have there been that many recently? Norman+92L, perhaps?

Chacor - We just had a WPAC hurricane named "Paul" I believe that affected the Baja coastline. It's that moisture that came across the US that helped to develop this storm.

Stephanie wrote:Chacor - We just had a WPAC hurricane named "Paul" I believe that affected the Baja coastline. It's that moisture that came across the US that helped to develop this storm.

Yes and slapped our rears with more flooding before it headed your way. That is two flooding episodes for some areas in SE TX in one week!!!! Hope everything stays safe up there!!!

I didn't think it was Paul because I'd expect most of Paul to die off over Mexico and Texas.

Stephanie wrote:Chacor - We just had a WPAC hurricane named "Paul" I believe that affected the Baja coastline. It's that moisture that came across the US that helped to develop this storm.

A. it was EPAC
B. WPAC doesnt have huricanes
C. with all corections made i agree that this was the moisture from Paul

Thanks fact...screwed up on my geography there...