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MetroMike
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Re: Florida Weather

#17321 Postby MetroMike » Thu Jul 06, 2023 6:29 pm

The drought here on the West Coast is getting worse.
I know the residents inland from there and on the East Coast are saying "Whaddya talking abut Mike?"
I never imagined a dry July in all my years here. Used to be a dependable summer pattern.

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Re: Florida Weather

#17322 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jul 06, 2023 9:28 pm

The El Niño is likely the reason for the persistent west wind pattern with deep troubling along the EC. Also where is the SAL as July is the SAL month for us? Again likely due to El Niño shifting the pattern.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17323 Postby psyclone » Thu Jul 06, 2023 9:41 pm

Once the shelf waters of the gulf reach 88 or higher it's only a matter of time before the gulf blows it's top and delivers heavy nocturnal and morning coastal rains. We're there now so it's going to happen soon. One way or another it finds a way to rain here...a lot...at some point every summer.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17324 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jul 07, 2023 2:35 pm

Copious amounts of rainfall across SE Florida this afternoon as the very rainy rainy season continues. East Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Pompano got walloped. :eek:
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Re: Florida Weather

#17325 Postby MetroMike » Sat Jul 08, 2023 11:23 am

Encouraging look in the Gulf
But still not a drought busting pattern


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Re: Florida Weather

#17326 Postby psyclone » Sat Jul 08, 2023 12:16 pm

You can deny a bermuda high and an east wind but you can't stop the rain. Once the Gulf gets warm enough it's going to rain. it's almost like we've been here before and you can see it coming. Rinse repeat.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17327 Postby toad strangler » Sat Jul 08, 2023 12:17 pm

gatorcane wrote:Copious amounts of rainfall across SE Florida this afternoon as the very rainy rainy season continues. East Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Pompano got walloped. :eek:


In Port Saint Lucie West I had April, May, and June all above 10.00”. Incredible.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17328 Postby psyclone » Sun Jul 09, 2023 12:13 pm

CPC outlooks are a smoke show over the next few weeks implying another round(s) of excessive heat.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17329 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jul 09, 2023 12:33 pm

toad strangler wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Copious amounts of rainfall across SE Florida this afternoon as the very rainy rainy season continues. East Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Pompano got walloped. :eek:


In Port Saint Lucie West I had April, May, and June all above 10.00”. Incredible.


I think I have received 10 inches just in the last week between a couple of intense storms. The one on Friday I spoke of had to have dumped 5+ inches and last night was a doozie also. The lightning has also been impressive as well.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17330 Postby MetroMike » Sun Jul 09, 2023 12:51 pm

gatorcane wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Copious amounts of rainfall across SE Florida this afternoon as the very rainy rainy season continues. East Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Pompano got walloped. :eek:


In Port Saint Lucie West I had April, May, and June all above 10.00”. Incredible.


I think I have received 10 inches just in the last week between a couple of intense storms. The one on Friday I spoke of had to have dumped 5+ inches and last night was a doozie also. The lightning has also been impressive as well.



We are having a battle between the haves and have nots on this board this summer

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Re: Florida Weather

#17331 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jul 09, 2023 2:38 pm

The story this week will not be the rain but the excessive heat as a Saharan Air layer moves into Southern Florida from the east. The European model has 99F for Southern Florida Tue, while Wed and Thu are close to that as well :eek:

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Re: Florida Weather

#17332 Postby MetroMike » Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:28 pm

Drought is increasing on the west coast.
Supposed to be one of the wettest months here.
I find this incomprehensible in recent history.
Fox13 chief Met. Paul Dellegatto says this may be caused by the El Nino.
Poor display of the rainy season.


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Re: Florida Weather

#17333 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jul 16, 2023 8:19 am

Feels like temps already around 101F-102F for parts of Southeast Florida as of 9AM this morning (Boca Raton down to Fort Lauderdale) as the heat wave continues. Looks like Miami-Dade has an excessive heat warning with forecasted feels like temps later today maxing out in the 107-112F range. One of the reasons for this heat is due to the above normal surrounding seas surface temps. Checking the buoys this morning, I am seeing around 91F SST along coastal Miami-Dade waters, 87F for coastal Broward and 85F off of West Palm Beach.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17334 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jul 16, 2023 11:26 am

Marathon in the Florida Keys is reporting a heat index of 113F right now: :eek:

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... 1999999995
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Re: Florida Weather

#17335 Postby NDG » Sun Jul 16, 2023 8:40 pm

gatorcane wrote:Marathon in the Florida Keys is reporting a heat index of 113F right now: :eek:

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... 1999999995



Hopefully the day will never come of what some areas around the Persian Gulf in the Middle East deal with during their hot summers when the Gulf gets into the 90s with dewpoints well into the 80s near the immediate coastal areas, past midnight over there with a heat index still above 120 deg F.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries? ... K&hours=72
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Re: Florida Weather

#17336 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2023 9:07 am

NDG wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Marathon in the Florida Keys is reporting a heat index of 113F right now: :eek:

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... 1999999995



Hopefully the day will never come of what some areas around the Persian Gulf in the Middle East deal with during their hot summers when the Gulf gets into the 90s with dewpoints well into the 80s near the immediate coastal areas, past midnight over there with a heat index still above 120 deg F.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries? ... K&hours=72


Wow that is some insane heat, let’s not hope that is the future for the FL Keys.

Looks like the heat gets worse again for South Florida this weekend (starting Friday) with the hottest day on Monday according to the GFS. Note the extreme heat over the Southern and Central US also. :eek:

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Re: Florida Weather

#17337 Postby psyclone » Mon Jul 17, 2023 11:03 am

KTPA had a heat index of 98 at 8 am. 90 degree shelf waters yield 80 dewpoint sauna conditions...especially when those waters surround a given location on more than one side like the keys or other barrier islands or peninsulas like Pinellas. we need a relaxing of the high pressure so this flash fuel can convect, yielding needed rain and a heat expenditure. the water is blood warm but it is divine for swimming.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17338 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:52 am

The heat is on this weekend with some of the hottest feels like temps across parts of Florida that we have seen this summer so far. Areas of Palm Beach County could see heat indices up to 111F. Light SW flow and a lack of seabreeze penetration particularly into inland areas is partly to blame as a CONUS trough digs down into the Eastern US:

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx. ... lon=-80.27
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Re: Florida Weather

#17339 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:20 pm

Feels like temps at this hour are in the low 110s across SE Florida and the FL Keys with 114F at Marathon and 113F at Fort Lauderdale! Today we have quite a SAL plume over South Florida which has reduced the clouds and rain chances. That combined with light SW flow (except right along the coast where the wind has turned to the SE) along with above normal SSTs is really ramping up the heat here.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17340 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:18 pm

Interesting little vort feature with this tropical wave coming in from the east right now. Easier to see some weak turning on radar rather then on satellite. Looks to me like it'll come on in around Daytona. Precurser for a future August or September track??? :think:
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