Florida Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1752
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17041 Postby Patrick99 » Sun Jul 10, 2022 4:49 pm

Still can't buy a storm in Miami, despite a decent moisture profile today. At least Ft. Lauderdale is getting a little this afternoon.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17042 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jul 14, 2022 12:16 pm

The no rainy season summer continues across most eastern South Florida metro locals by the coast. At my locale, we probably have received about a half inch of rain at most in the last 5 weeks. Combined with hot, sunny days (as the anvils from storms over the interior get sheared off to the west and not east) makes the days quite miserable until the sun goes down.
Last edited by gatorcane on Thu Jul 14, 2022 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6306
Age: 59
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17043 Postby boca » Thu Jul 14, 2022 1:05 pm

This is the driest rainy season here in SE Florida I’ve ever seen. Usually we get periods of a westerly flow from time to time but not this year. It’s been miserable and I hope the pattern changes soon which I’m really thinking it won’t change. The only saying grace will be a tropical system like what happened in early June.
1 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17044 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jul 14, 2022 5:12 pm

Let’s see we may have a shot at some decent rains from this TUTT moving in from the Bahamas tomorrow and into the weekend. While the low-level steering flow will still be out of the southeast as it has been for the most part for the last 5+ weeks or so, the TUTT should allow some storms to develop over the east coast and/or move in from the Atlantic. The heaviest rainfall still favors the southwest coast of Florida.

The last summer which reminded me of this one was 2017 with very dominant east to southeast winds over the summer. That year we did get some significant impacts from Irma and we noted some anomalously strong ridging that year over the Western Atlantic.
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: Florida Weather

#17045 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Jul 15, 2022 5:19 pm

Looking like we might have another low-pressure trough hanging out over the northern Gulf of Mexico the next couple of days.
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1752
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17046 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Jul 18, 2022 2:51 pm

gatorcane wrote:Let’s see we may have a shot at some decent rains from this TUTT moving in from the Bahamas tomorrow and into the weekend. While the low-level steering flow will still be out of the southeast as it has been for the most part for the last 5+ weeks or so, the TUTT should allow some storms to develop over the east coast and/or move in from the Atlantic. The heaviest rainfall still favors the southwest coast of Florida.

The last summer which reminded me of this one was 2017 with very dominant east to southeast winds over the summer. That year we did get some significant impacts from Irma and we noted some anomalously strong ridging that year over the Western Atlantic.


Rainfall performance was pretty poor from that TUTT, at least in my area. Couldn't have been more than 1.00" all weekend. There was one halfway decent squall Saturday evening, and apparently I slept through a brief storm very early Saturday AM. That was about the extent of it.
1 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17047 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 25, 2022 8:34 pm

Looks like a weak tropical wave will be moving into South Florida from the Central Bahamas late tonight and into tomorrow. This wave should give the southeast coast of Florida some much needed rainfall. It continues to be exceptionally dry around my locale in coastal SE Palm Beach county. We have had a shower here and there but just light rain enough to wet the pavement and nothing significant.
0 likes   

Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1752
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17048 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Jul 26, 2022 8:02 am

Finally, a little storminess in Miami this morning. And it is extremely muggy out. This is more like the kind of old school SE FL weather I remember.
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6306
Age: 59
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17049 Postby boca » Tue Jul 26, 2022 8:11 am

Patrick99 wrote:Finally, a little storminess in Miami this morning. And it is extremely muggy out. This is more like the kind of old school SE FL weather I remember.


I think we are having the driest summer ever.The wind hasn’t been SW or West the last two months which is crazy.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17050 Postby gatorcane » Tue Jul 26, 2022 12:05 pm

Cashing in on rain big time on the coast here in Boca Raton it is very squally with some gusty winds which is typical of a tropical wave moving through. About time!
1 likes   

Nuno
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 529
Joined: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:35 am
Location: Coral Gables, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17051 Postby Nuno » Wed Jul 27, 2022 11:22 am

boca wrote:
Patrick99 wrote:Finally, a little storminess in Miami this morning. And it is extremely muggy out. This is more like the kind of old school SE FL weather I remember.


I think we are having the driest summer ever.The wind hasn’t been SW or West the last two months which is crazy.

Image

Aside from a couple days where the rainfall has been bunched up, it has been a ridiculously dry July. And just like that, we have another 3 or 4 days of dust and sun...yay. :(
0 likes   
Andrew (1992), Irene (1999), Frances (2004), Katrina (2005), Wilma (2005), Fay (2008), Irma (2017), Eta (2020), Ian (2022)

TheHurricaneGod
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 146
Age: 21
Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2020 6:19 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale

Re: Florida Weather

#17052 Postby TheHurricaneGod » Fri Jul 29, 2022 7:36 am

Before I moved back north to Delaware for the summer, there was constant easterly flow and I remember watching the storms out west with nothing in FLL. It appears that this problem has continued over the past 2 months. Hopefully this changes by the time I go back down in mid-august.
2 likes   

canes92
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 96
Age: 31
Joined: Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:51 pm

Re: Florida Weather

#17053 Postby canes92 » Sat Jul 30, 2022 11:23 am

Been hotter than average summer so far with high temps usually getting into the mid 90s. Usually get some rainfall towards or during the evening time and drops the temps 20 degrees which is nice but humidity has been bad like always. That's Florida. Always hotter than average it seems.
2 likes   

Nuno
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 529
Joined: Fri Aug 30, 2019 8:35 am
Location: Coral Gables, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17054 Postby Nuno » Mon Aug 01, 2022 2:25 pm

TheHurricaneGod wrote:Before I moved back north to Delaware for the summer, there was constant easterly flow and I remember watching the storms out west with nothing in FLL. It appears that this problem has continued over the past 2 months. Hopefully this changes by the time I go back down in mid-august.


That flow is still there, and still nothing for MIA or FLL in terms of moisture since that big drenching a few weeks back. Odd shower here and there but it's brutally dry.
2 likes   
Andrew (1992), Irene (1999), Frances (2004), Katrina (2005), Wilma (2005), Fay (2008), Irma (2017), Eta (2020), Ian (2022)

Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1752
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17055 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Aug 02, 2022 6:50 am

Nuno wrote:
TheHurricaneGod wrote:Before I moved back north to Delaware for the summer, there was constant easterly flow and I remember watching the storms out west with nothing in FLL. It appears that this problem has continued over the past 2 months. Hopefully this changes by the time I go back down in mid-august.


That flow is still there, and still nothing for MIA or FLL in terms of moisture since that big drenching a few weeks back. Odd shower here and there but it's brutally dry.


If this easterly flow would go slack or even just lessen, we'd get more rain. But no. I feel like every day since June 1 it's been winds ESE at 15 knots.

It looked like today was going to be a slack day earlier, but nah, it's 8:15AM and I already see branches outside bending to the easterly flow.
3 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17056 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 02, 2022 7:09 pm

The east to southeast wind pattern has been so dominant. Perhaps the ridge finally breaks down in the long-range based on the latest global model runs. Haven’t seen storms move in on SW wind flow since beginning of June. It is a bit unusual this pattern we are seeing, normally you get a few days here and there with SW winds and huge storms over the east coast, not this year so far. It has basically been a dry, dusty desert outside of a handful of big rainfall days. Cross our fingers there are no hurricane season implications with this pattern once we head into late Aug and Sept.
2 likes   

Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1752
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17057 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Aug 03, 2022 10:26 am

gatorcane wrote:The east to southeast wind pattern has been so dominant. Perhaps the ridge finally breaks down in the long-range based on the latest global model runs. Haven’t seen storms move in on SW wind flow since beginning of June. It is a bit unusual this pattern we are seeing, normally you get a few days here and there with SW winds and huge storms over the east coast, not this year so far. It has basically been a dry, dusty desert outside of a handful of big rainfall days. Cross our fingers there are no hurricane season implications with this pattern once we head into late Aug and Sept.


It's so weird to me. Even in most years with dominant SW Atlantic ridging overall, we'd usually see that ridge pulse back/forth/up/down every few days allowing for more variability in storm movement. But no, not this year. So far, almost all our rain has come from 1) an about-to-develop TS, 2) an upper level low (not even that much rain), and 3) a tropical wave.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23499
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#17058 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 05, 2022 8:26 pm

Are those SW winds across South Florida I am seeing on the GFS for next weekend?!? Wow I can’t even remember what those are like.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: Florida Weather

#17059 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Aug 11, 2022 3:48 pm

Starting to see an uptick in 850mb vorticity off of the Florida Panhandle and Louisiana. With all the moisture in the northern Gulf of Mexico, it might be worth watching.

Image

Image
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3205
Age: 60
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: Florida Weather

#17060 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Aug 11, 2022 6:14 pm

0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Iceresistance, WacoWx and 35 guests