110+ In Phoenix Nears Record
Posted: Thu Aug 23, 2007 7:24 am
For those who don't understand the impact of urbanization on the heat island effect, here's some supportive data.
Phoenix and the surrounding areas on the desert floor are on the brink of setting a new (and not so proud) record!
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
855 AM MST WED AUG 22 2007
...2007 COULD SET RECORD FOR MOST 110+ DEGREE DAYS AT PHOENIX...
THROUGH AUGUST 21ST...THERE HAVE BEEN 27 DAYS WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE OF 110 DEGREES OR GREATER AT PHOENIX SKY HARBOR
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS TIES 1989...1985...1974 AND 1936 AS THE
3RD MOST ON RECORD. THE MOST ON RECORD IS 28...WHICH OCCURRED IN
2002 AND 1979 /SEE TABLE 1 BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION/.
HOWEVER...SUMMER 2007 IS FAR FROM OVER. THE LATEST OBSERVED 110
DEGREE OR GREATER TEMPERATURE OCCURRED ON SEPTEMBER 15TH /IN
2000/...MEANING THERE IS NEARLY A MONTH-LONG WINDOW REMAINING WHEN
110+ TEMPERATURES ARE CLIMATOLOGICALLY POSSIBLE. WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR 110 DEGREES THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK...THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT 2007 WILL SET THE NEW
RECORD.
HAVE 110+ DEGREE DAYS BEEN INCREASING OVER THE YEARS? YES...BASED ON
OBSERVED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR PHOENIX FROM 1896 THROUGH 2007
SEE TABLE 2 BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. POSSIBLE REASONS FOR
THIS TREND INCLUDE URBANIZATION AND REGIONAL/GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE.
TABLE 1 - TOP 10 YEARS WITH HIGHS OF
110 OR GREATER AT PHOENIX
RANK YEAR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP TOT
1 2002 0 12 9 6 1 28
1979 0 10 13 2 3 28
3 2007 0 10 12 5* - 27*
1989 1 9 16# 1 0 27
1985 0 10 10 7 0 27
1974 1 18# 6 1 1 27
1936 0 13 13 1 0 27
8 2003 1 2 15 6 2 26
9 1995 0 2 11 11# 1 25
1981 0 11 6 8 0 25
* THROUGH AUG 21 2007
# INDICATES ALL-TIME MONTHLY RECORD
TABLE 2 - ANNUAL FREQUENCY OF
110+ DEGREE DAYS BY DECADE
1890S 5.3 PER YEAR
1900S 5.2 PER YEAR
1910S 3.8 PER YEAR
1920S 7.7 PER YEAR
1930S 11.8 PER YEAR
1940S 7.2 PER YEAR
1950S 6.7 PER YEAR
1960S 10.3 PER YEAR
1970S 17.0 PER YEAR
1980S 19.0 PER YEAR
1990S 13.6 PER YEAR
2000S 21.9 PER YEAR*
* THROUGH AUG 21 2007
Phoenix and the surrounding areas on the desert floor are on the brink of setting a new (and not so proud) record!
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
855 AM MST WED AUG 22 2007
...2007 COULD SET RECORD FOR MOST 110+ DEGREE DAYS AT PHOENIX...
THROUGH AUGUST 21ST...THERE HAVE BEEN 27 DAYS WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE OF 110 DEGREES OR GREATER AT PHOENIX SKY HARBOR
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS TIES 1989...1985...1974 AND 1936 AS THE
3RD MOST ON RECORD. THE MOST ON RECORD IS 28...WHICH OCCURRED IN
2002 AND 1979 /SEE TABLE 1 BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION/.
HOWEVER...SUMMER 2007 IS FAR FROM OVER. THE LATEST OBSERVED 110
DEGREE OR GREATER TEMPERATURE OCCURRED ON SEPTEMBER 15TH /IN
2000/...MEANING THERE IS NEARLY A MONTH-LONG WINDOW REMAINING WHEN
110+ TEMPERATURES ARE CLIMATOLOGICALLY POSSIBLE. WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR 110 DEGREES THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK...THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT 2007 WILL SET THE NEW
RECORD.
HAVE 110+ DEGREE DAYS BEEN INCREASING OVER THE YEARS? YES...BASED ON
OBSERVED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR PHOENIX FROM 1896 THROUGH 2007
SEE TABLE 2 BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. POSSIBLE REASONS FOR
THIS TREND INCLUDE URBANIZATION AND REGIONAL/GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE.
TABLE 1 - TOP 10 YEARS WITH HIGHS OF
110 OR GREATER AT PHOENIX
RANK YEAR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP TOT
1 2002 0 12 9 6 1 28
1979 0 10 13 2 3 28
3 2007 0 10 12 5* - 27*
1989 1 9 16# 1 0 27
1985 0 10 10 7 0 27
1974 1 18# 6 1 1 27
1936 0 13 13 1 0 27
8 2003 1 2 15 6 2 26
9 1995 0 2 11 11# 1 25
1981 0 11 6 8 0 25
* THROUGH AUG 21 2007
# INDICATES ALL-TIME MONTHLY RECORD
TABLE 2 - ANNUAL FREQUENCY OF
110+ DEGREE DAYS BY DECADE
1890S 5.3 PER YEAR
1900S 5.2 PER YEAR
1910S 3.8 PER YEAR
1920S 7.7 PER YEAR
1930S 11.8 PER YEAR
1940S 7.2 PER YEAR
1950S 6.7 PER YEAR
1960S 10.3 PER YEAR
1970S 17.0 PER YEAR
1980S 19.0 PER YEAR
1990S 13.6 PER YEAR
2000S 21.9 PER YEAR*
* THROUGH AUG 21 2007