Another flooding event possible for Florida Panhandle
Posted: Sun Oct 21, 2007 11:09 am
Some areas around Pensacola including Gulf breeze got around 28 inches of rain in 2 days last week with most areas getting around a foot! Not to mention the tornado making its way through downtown...looks like another flooding event could take place on monday...
THE INCREASED SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OPERATING ON THE DEEP LAYER GULF
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER TROF...COMBINED WITH
A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT SUGGESTS THAT ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EVENT IS
BECOMING MORE PROBABLE ALONG THE GULF COAST MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.VEERING AND INCREASING WINDS WITHIN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE SUGGESTS ENOUGH SHEAR SUPPORTING SOME SEVERE STORMS ON
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH MOIST ADIABATIC THERMAL
PROFILES KEEPING A CHECK ON INSTABILITY...COVERAGES OF SEVERE STORMS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE WITHIN SLIGHT RISK CRITERIA AS OUTLOOKED BY
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. DUE TO THE
RECENT RECORD RAINFALL EVENT THAT OCCURRED OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...THERE IS CONCERN THAT ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EVENT WILL
QUICKLY LEAD TO ANOTHER FLOODING EPISODE. THIS MAY LEAD TO A FLOOD
WATCH A BIT LATER AS WE AWAIT RECEIPT OF NEW DATA. STAY TUNED.
THE INCREASED SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT OPERATING ON THE DEEP LAYER GULF
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER TROF...COMBINED WITH
A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT SUGGESTS THAT ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EVENT IS
BECOMING MORE PROBABLE ALONG THE GULF COAST MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.VEERING AND INCREASING WINDS WITHIN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE SUGGESTS ENOUGH SHEAR SUPPORTING SOME SEVERE STORMS ON
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH MOIST ADIABATIC THERMAL
PROFILES KEEPING A CHECK ON INSTABILITY...COVERAGES OF SEVERE STORMS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE WITHIN SLIGHT RISK CRITERIA AS OUTLOOKED BY
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. DUE TO THE
RECENT RECORD RAINFALL EVENT THAT OCCURRED OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...THERE IS CONCERN THAT ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EVENT WILL
QUICKLY LEAD TO ANOTHER FLOODING EPISODE. THIS MAY LEAD TO A FLOOD
WATCH A BIT LATER AS WE AWAIT RECEIPT OF NEW DATA. STAY TUNED.