Any effects from solar flares on 2011 Atl Hurricane Season?

[cycloneye]

I am making this thread to see if there is discussion by the peeps and pro mets about any impact from the solar flares that are occuring right now towards having an active season or not.

[Category 5]

I got to meet a few people at the AMS conference who study space weather, this is a good question, perhaps I'll shoot one of them an email.

[Javlin]

We use to have a fella on the board that did alot of space weather and was amazingly accurate when predicting formation periods.I remember if correctly he forcasted a storm formation in Dec.!! weeks ahead? it had to be the 05 season I would think.

[RL3AO]

I don't see how it could possibly have an impact. Flares impacts are at the polar regions and any auroras are well above the troposphere which is where all weather occurs.

Any serious impact I guess would be a flare knocking out a goes satellite.

[cycloneye]

I found an interesting video about strong hurricanes forming after solar flares occured.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZWSr99VGcU

[Category 5]

I don't see how it could possibly have an impact.

Neither does my friend, a grad student studying space weather. He mentioned a study of gamma radiation and hurricane activity though, but says it is unproven and VERY heatedly debated. Idk if anyone has read about this.

[Javlin]

Interesting vid but he is cherry picking.I would beg to look at the SF's as a whole and look for events afterwards and there might be alot that nothing occurred?It was Jim Hughes who mentioned a storm in Dec 05 Epsilon.Do I think SF's make a storm happen "No" but could they be a factor like wind shear,sst's and atm temps possibily but I think we are still aways out from finding this out.All alot of what us amateurs do is make possible corellations to cause and effects.

[Metalicwx220]

That video was amazing!!!!!!..Is that what causes storms to rapidly intensify? Thats probably why tomas or some of the other storms in 2010 didn't become as strong as they predicted because of low solar activity. Or are these just silly coincidences? Lol

[cycloneye]

More solar flares shooting out today.



Uploaded by imageshack.us

[Metalicwx220]

Hey does that have any effect on weather?

[somethingfunny]

I had heard a lack of solar flares was partially responsible for the insanely cold temperatures in the stratosphere across the globe this winter. So it might affect the placement and strength of high pressure systems and the jet stream, and have an impact on the steering patterns and development regions....

We haven't really had a good solar flare for several years. I don't think it has much effect on tropical cyclones though, or at least not near as much of an effect as other variations.



Can you spot the correlation to active and inactive seasons? Neither can I.

[MGC]

I agree with somethingfunny. Also, what happens when a massive flare, the likes of the Carrington Flare in 1859 would fry nearly every satellite in orbit. No GOES images. We would be in deep stuff.....MGC