Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

Weather events from around the world plus Astronomy and Geology and other Natural events.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#61 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 16, 2011 5:46 am

Nightwatch wrote:well, so far we havent seen any big tremors (7+) around earth last days.
Next one cant be related anymore to the solaractivity of last two weeks i guess?


Agreed
0 likes   

User avatar
Nightwatch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2011 6:58 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#62 Postby Nightwatch » Tue Aug 16, 2011 6:27 am

5.8 in Ceram sea Indonesia just right now :P :spam:
0 likes   
The only thing we really get for free is the weather...

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#63 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 16, 2011 2:59 pm

Activity is picking up off east coast of Japan.

Troubling part is the magnitudes are getting bigger.

This happened before the M9 on 3/11.

Hopefully, this time it is not a precursor for another big one that most experts expect to happen soon.


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... es_all.php

http://geofon.gfz-potsdam.de/eqinfo/list.php
0 likes   

User avatar
Nightwatch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2011 6:58 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#64 Postby Nightwatch » Wed Aug 17, 2011 7:07 am

GCANE wrote:Activity is picking up off east coast of Japan.

Troubling part is the magnitudes are getting bigger.

This happened before the M9 on 3/11.

Hopefully, this time it is not a precursor for another big one that most experts expect to happen soon.


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... es_all.php

http://geofon.gfz-potsdam.de/eqinfo/list.php


6.2 offshore Honshu just right now.....
0 likes   
The only thing we really get for free is the weather...

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#65 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 17, 2011 7:21 am

Nightwatch wrote:
GCANE wrote:Activity is picking up off east coast of Japan.

Troubling part is the magnitudes are getting bigger.

This happened before the M9 on 3/11.

Hopefully, this time it is not a precursor for another big one that most experts expect to happen soon.


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... es_all.php

http://geofon.gfz-potsdam.de/eqinfo/list.php


6.2 offshore Honshu just right now.....



Just before the quake, there were a couple long duration c-class flares and strong d-region RF absorption in the ionosphere.

Hope this is not a precursor for the big-one.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#66 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 19, 2011 6:05 am

Solar winds have dropped to around the 350 km/sec range and sure enough 2 large quakes have occurred.

6.2 near Fiji and 6.3 off east coast of Honshu


http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com//ma ... ?id=129019

http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com//ma ... ?id=129027


Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Nightwatch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2011 6:58 am

#67 Postby Nightwatch » Sat Aug 20, 2011 12:07 pm

7.5 quake strikes Vanuatu
0 likes   
The only thing we really get for free is the weather...

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#68 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 20, 2011 6:23 pm

A second 7.0 quake

Solar wind at 329 km/sec

http://www.spaceweather.com/



http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... 005h9f.php

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... 005hbt.php


http://earthquake-report.com/2011/08/20 ... uatu-area/

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQEHLKOxrEo&feature=channel_video_title[/youtube]
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#69 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 20, 2011 8:43 pm

PG&E Warned to Prepare for Solar Storms

http://www.baycitizen.org/blogs/pulse-o ... ar-storms/



The California Public Utilities Commission warned Pacific Gas & Electric and other utilities in the state to prepare for an expected spate of damaging space weather, the San Francisco Examiner reported.

According to NASA, solar flares are sudden explosions of radiation on the surface of the sun. These explosions can damage satellites, power grids and power transformers. They frequently occur in bursts during cycles that repeat every 11 years or so, and scientists forecast solar storm activity will peak within the next two years.

Three large explosions that were detected on the sun earlier this month could mark the beginning of the expected spate of solar storms.
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#70 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 22, 2011 9:25 am

http://www.earthquakesummary.info/

DOUBLE MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HIT VANUATU ISLANDS

EARTHQUAKE SUMMARY FOR AUGUST 20, 2011

A pair of major earthquakes hit the region the Vanuatu Islands today with M 7.1 and 7.0. NEIC reported these earthquakes were felt strongly with intensity V in Vila, Shefa, Vanuatu and with intensity II in Luganville, Sanma, Noumea, South New Caledonia. One report from Nelson, New Zealand was made but this seems improbable for an earthquake of this size and distance from that city (about 2600 km). The mainshock of M 7.0 was preceded seven hours earlier by an M 5.1 foreshock. None of these events were associated with injuries. The epicenters were about 50 miles SSW of the Capital of Vanuatu, Port-Vila. Minor damage was reported in the southern part of the country and in the surrounding areas of Port-Vila according to the Vanuatu Disaster Management Office. A tsunami warning was issued but was lifted later. The Vanuatu Tsunami warning Center reported a tsunami was generated and measured 1.05 meters (3.4 feet) on the island of Efate less than an hour after the earthquake. Tsunamis are rare from earthquakes in this region. Initial reports indicated no damage from the tsunami but this is a remote region and tsunami damage to coastal villages is possible with tsunamis of this height. Strong earthquakes of M 7.5 and 7.3 hit within 100 km of today's epicenters on August 10, 2010 and on December 25, 2010. Only three earthquakes of larger magnitude have occurred in the world in the year 2011 - the M 9.0 in Japan on March 11; an M 7.6 on July 6, 2011 in the Kermadec Islands; and an M 7.2 in the Fox Islands on June 24, 2011. Other earthquakes this year of M 7.1 have occurred in Pakistan and Chile. An earthquake of M 7.0 in the Loyalty Islands about 200 km south of today's earthquakes started the year out on January 13. Forecast 62220 had expected this earthquake in late August within about 30 km of these epicenter.

Some of today's Vanuatu activity may have been triggered by solar flares. The foreshock of M 5.0 at 9:50 UT followed the largest flare of the day by about 20 minutes and the major aftershock of M 7.1 at 18:19 followed a similar flare about 10 minutes later. The most direct relation was an M 4.9 aftershock at 20:13 UT which occurred at the height of the strongest flare of the day - an B8.5 between 20:11 and 20:18 UT. This area of the Vanuatu Islands is located at 15 degrees south of the geomagnetic equator, a prime region for geomagnetic and solar flare triggering.
0 likes   

TAD
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 13
Joined: Fri Aug 05, 2011 5:59 pm
Location: Florida

Re: Strong Solar / Geomagnetic Storm Underway

#71 Postby TAD » Fri Aug 26, 2011 4:35 pm

Here is an article which describes another potential influence: that cosmic rays may affect nucleation and cloud formation, and that the rays are modulated by solar wind.

Higher solar wind reduces cosmic particle penetration, which causes less necleation and fewer clouds, fewer clouds causing increased insolation and higher temperatures. So the theory goes.

http://arstechnica.com/science/news/201 ... clouds.ars


GCANE wrote:
HurricaneFan wrote:Is this same event affecting the tropics?
And if so,how long will it last?


I think so. It is abnormally heating the ionosphere and possibly inhibiting development of 91L IMHO.

The x-ray flux creates more electron density in the ionosphere than what is normal.

This is shown in the graphic below. Usually it is black. But when electron density increases, there will be a blue bubble superimposed on the earth's surface showing where the heated region is in the ionosphere. The higher the electron concentration, the deeper blue the bubble.

I think the excess electrons create a pressure effect onto the tropopause which effectively pushes down on cyclones and keeps them from spinning up.

This most likely will last as long as the sunspots, crossing the face of the sun, expand & grow.

When they move to the other side of the sun, the effect will be gone.


0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

surfer_dude
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 26
Joined: Tue Aug 30, 2011 7:18 pm
Location: San Antonio, TX

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#72 Postby surfer_dude » Sat Sep 03, 2011 1:08 pm

I became very interested in this after the Japan Earthquake and found this site... and no i am not affiliated with it

http://www.garagegames.com/community/blog/view/15946
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#73 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 03, 2011 8:09 pm

Dr Sergey Pulinets noticed strong ionospheric anomalies about 2 days before the Japan quake.

http://yubanet.com/california/Scientist ... signal.php

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IahAkgAvOq4

http://www.amazon.com/Ionospheric-Precu ... 40208399#_



Also, there were some strong anomalies this morning. There was a 7.0 quake at Vanuatu a couple hrs ago.
0 likes   

WeatherGuesser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2672
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am

#74 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Sep 13, 2011 5:42 pm

Any reports of a satellite disruption?
0 likes   

User avatar
Nightwatch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2011 6:58 am

#75 Postby Nightwatch » Thu Sep 22, 2011 7:39 am

Another X1.4 flare just right now.
No information yet about CME or EarthDirected
http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/last_eve ... _1029.html
0 likes   
The only thing we really get for free is the weather...

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re:

#76 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 23, 2011 9:44 am

Nightwatch wrote:Another X1.4 flare just right now.
No information yet about CME or EarthDirected
http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/last_eve ... _1029.html


It was a big CME, but it looks like it will just graze the earth.

Currently high proton and electron fluxes hitting earth.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Epam_p_24h.gif

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/Sis_24h.gif

Ionosphere is very disturbed and magnetic field is concentrating in the Caribbean.

http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu/~pyle/DIRPlot.gif

Wouldn't be surprised if a large quake goes off there within the next few days.


Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#77 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 23, 2011 9:48 am

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4vqx9zi0ds&feature=channel_video_title[/youtube]


[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nvO_yPRx-I&feature=channel_video_title[/youtube]
0 likes   

User avatar
Nightwatch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2011 6:58 am

#78 Postby Nightwatch » Sat Sep 24, 2011 11:18 am

Earlier and X1.9 and a few hours ago an M7.1

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCFk_l0L2x8[/youtube]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CBgySHFUo5w[/youtube]

In a few days it will turn towards earth right?
0 likes   
The only thing we really get for free is the weather...

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Strong Solar Storm Underway - Seismic Activity Possible

#79 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 26, 2011 4:41 am

The frequency of mega earthquakes increases during periods when the sun has fewer sunspots, a team of Japanese researchers has found.

The finding was made by a team led by Kiyofumi Yumoto, a researcher in space and earth electromagnetism at Kyushu University's Space Environment Research Center.

The March 11 Great East Japan Earthquake occurred when there were few sunspots. The latest research suggests that the sun's activity could influence movements beneath the earth's surface.

Sunspots gradually increase and decrease in number in a cycle of about 11 years, and cause changes in the earth's atmosphere. The research team investigated the possibility that they could also produce changes beneath the earth's surface, and compared data on the number of sunspots between 1963 and 2000 and the 327,625 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more that occurred during this period.

The study found that 65 percent of the earthquakes with magnitudes between 4.0 and 4.9 occurred during the periods with the fewest sunspots (each lasting about two years). The figure was around the same for earthquakes with magnitudes between 5.0 and 7.9. However, the figure was higher for the 28 mega earthquakes with magnitudes in the 8.0-9.9 range, with 79 percent of them occurring during periods with the fewest sunspots.

When there are fewer sunspots, a phenomenon occurs in which solar winds, or streams of charged particles from the sun, get stronger an average of three to four times a month. Seventy percent of the earthquakes of magnitude 6.0 or stronger occurred at such times.

Solar winds that become stormy are known to be able to induce strong currents in power transmission lines, which can lead to major blackouts.

http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/201 ... 6000c.html
0 likes   

User avatar
Nightwatch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2011 6:58 am

#80 Postby Nightwatch » Mon Sep 26, 2011 5:30 am

Hmm... interesting... I just would have expected the opposite. :D

More sunspots, more flares, more (big) quakes but this study says the solarwinds are stronger when there are fewer sunspots.
0 likes   
The only thing we really get for free is the weather...


Return to “Global Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 95 guests