Development off the East Coast?

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SouthFloridawx
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Development off the East Coast?

#1 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Sep 13, 2006 12:23 am

Just looking at the 00Z models and see maybe some possible development off the East Coast.

GFS
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=060hr

CMC
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=072hr

UKMET
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... hour=072hr

MM5FSU
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/slp.24.png

NOGAPS
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... rp&tau=072

NAM Also picking up on it.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/nam ... 300/5.html

It's probably Frontal Development but, none the less could impact the swiftness of recurvature for Gordon.

I'm thinking probably some energy coming from a frontal boundary initially from the GOM.

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#2 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Sep 13, 2006 12:28 am

Model Runs here

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... p_atlantic

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... arib.shtml


Also it should be noted that NOGAPS develops a low off the East Coast and does help scoot out Gordon a little more quickly.
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#3 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Sep 13, 2006 1:57 pm

Models still showing some type of development off the East Coast.

CMC
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=060hr

GFS
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=060hr

FSUMM5
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc ... hour=060hr

NOGAPS
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... hour=060hr

UKMET
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... hour=060hr

Eventhough it's probably Frontal Development, it should result in a windy and rainy forecast along the East Coast.
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