Klotzbach and Gray: Above Average Season for 2007

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Aquawind
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#21 Postby Aquawind » Sun Dec 10, 2006 6:52 pm

Again, it doesn't take 12, 15, or 20 named storms to make for a very bad season. The total number of named storms is meaningless, generally. Fun to try to guess, but meaningless.


I hear ya.. but I wish we could convince the insurance companies that's the case. Those number crunching freaks are continuing to raise rates and high forecast numbers are playing into the politics and hype of if all. Those lobbyists are counterpointing with current forecast and long term numbers related to the current cycle. I tend to think they do more harm then good. But Weeeeee it's fun to guess for nothing... :lol:
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Sanibel
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#22 Postby Sanibel » Mon Dec 11, 2006 12:13 am

To me, their guess is a dart throw of an average prediction based on a slight high oscillation period bias. Not to bash, but they can't have that much credibility after this year's bust.
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