Early season thoughts on Cane season!

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deltadog03
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Early season thoughts on Cane season!

#1 Postby deltadog03 » Wed May 02, 2007 9:11 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Good evening all. Now that I have some free time before summer semester starts I wanted to take a little bit to show yall what I am thinking as far as the hurricane season going. Now, this is my early season ideas, but I think it pretty much shows what I feel like is going to happen.

Image

I feel like the mean ridge position should be in a spot where we might have to worry about landfalls over the central and eastern gom and most if not all of florida. I have seen signs this spring that the ridge wants to park itself there for a prolong time. Now, we should have a neutral to very weak la nina conditions and in fact this tends to be a higher than normal pattern for landfalls. Obviously I can't tell where and when a tropical system will make landfall or not, but I do think the probabilities are higher than normal. I also believe that the SE is in for a dry and warm to hot summer if yall don't get much rain from now to summer. For your sake I hope you do because I have been through a drought ridden hot summer in texas and it is NOT fun. Anyway, comments always welcomed.
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#2 Postby MississippiHurricane » Wed May 02, 2007 10:40 pm

Wow excellent forecast! We are 11 inches below normal so far this year and need rain: summer months are our driest here.
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#3 Postby deltadog03 » Thu May 03, 2007 12:28 pm

Well, I think if yall don't get some kind of tropical system's rain then your gonna be in for a LOOONG HOT dry summer.
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#4 Postby MississippiHurricane » Thu May 03, 2007 12:45 pm

yup a depression would be nice, but NOT a TS or hurricane: we cant handle a big system yet.
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Opal storm

#5 Postby Opal storm » Sun May 06, 2007 12:43 pm

Wouldn't that ridge you have over the central GC keep storms away from us and steer them further west towards Mexico/Texas?
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#6 Postby Robjohn53 » Thu May 10, 2007 9:53 pm

Nice job on this forecast.

Robjohn53
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