Oil Spill projection with Katrina type storm

[LSU2001]

I watched this projection with a sense of growing horror and disbelief. I hope and pray that this projection is not at all accurate and that we don't get to find out with a strong storm land-falling in Louisiana.
TIm

link: http://deepwaterhorizon.fsu.edu/project ... icanes.php

[MGC]

Just as I suspected, coastal Mississippi and Louisiana would get coated in oil.....MGC

[jinftl]

Any indication of if the oil would at least be diluted some by the churning and if there would be some fanning out as you move out in distance from the actual spill site?

[LSU2001]

Yeah, some of the environmental experts at LSU have said that a storm would tend to mix the oil into the water column and would serve to disperse or spread the oil further. My concern is that the surge would force the oil deeper into our marsh than it already is and would contaminate areas not protected by levees.

There is already talk of delayed re-entry into any areas contaminated with oil so if anyone evacuates they may not be able to return home for an extended period of time while the EPA and health officials determine safety. This "rumor" will cause many people including me to hesitate and maybe not evacuate except in an extreme situation (Cat 5). I think this could potentially cause unnecessary loss of life and more trauma for people who are already stressed with the oil spill, drilling ban, possible storm, and possibility of extended evacuations.
JMHO,
Tim

[kenneywallace]

wouldnt it depend on the angle of how the storm hit, if its right of the spill winds could blow it out to sea more, if its to the left the coast is in troble

[poof121]

Only problem with this model is that it doesn't seem to be aware of the fact that the land is there. It's moving oil around on land as if it was on water. I wouldn't put too much stock into this. Not that a Katrina type storm wouldn't bring oil with its surge, just not to the degree that this model indicates.

[thetruesms]

It also doesn't appear to account for oil flux - whether it be addition from new oil from the leak or removal by weathering.