Blob at 30w (Is invest 90L)
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cycloneye
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Re: Blob at 30w
Notice that they say is drifting west to westnorthwestward. Waiting for the wave behind?
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jlauderdal
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Re: Blob at 30w
Aric Dunn wrote:cycloneye wrote:Finnally!!!
[img][/img]
no invest though ..lol
you guys are funny, they give you not one but two lemons and now you want invests...
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Blob at 30w
cycloneye wrote:Notice that they say is drifting west to westnorthwestward. Waiting for the wave behind?
I would imagine so... the models are showing that and well if that is stationary and the wave is moving at about 10 to 15 kts its not a far stretch.
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Ivanhater
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Re: Blob at 30w
cycloneye wrote:Notice that they say is drifting west to westnorthwestward. Waiting for the wave behind?
Luis, I think both of our features will merge to form this system. IMO, this is looking more and more like a hurricane down the line, but that is pure speculation on my part. Looks like the wait has been cut short...
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Michael
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cycloneye
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Re: Blob at 30w
Big ITCZ paragraph at 2 PM Discussion:
THE ITCZ AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 11N18W 9N25W 8N37W 12N46W 13N52W
10N62W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG
29W/30W FROM 6N-11N GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM
OF LINE FROM 7N29W 6N32W TO 11N34W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-15N BETWEEN 55W-63W INCLUDING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE
FROM 9N36W TO 7N45W AND FROM 2N TO THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 37W-40W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM N
OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 45W-55W.
THE ITCZ AXIS IS ANALYZED ALONG 11N18W 9N25W 8N37W 12N46W 13N52W
10N62W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG
29W/30W FROM 6N-11N GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM
OF LINE FROM 7N29W 6N32W TO 11N34W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM
10N-15N BETWEEN 55W-63W INCLUDING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE
FROM 9N36W TO 7N45W AND FROM 2N TO THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 37W-40W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM N
OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 45W-55W.
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Re: Blob at 30w
This one has a nice little anticyclone over it which is fanning out the high cirrus. There seems to be some sort of CC turning with it already.
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Ivanhater
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Re: Blob at 30w
ronjon wrote:This one has a nice little anticyclone over it which is fanning out the high cirrus. There seems to be some sort of CC turning with it already.
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Michael
Yeah I think we may well have to pick one of these threads over the other one sooner or later, the convection is not really moving, just flaring up in various places. Turning still around 29W.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Ivanhater
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Re:
KWT wrote:Yeah I think we may well have to pick one of these threads over the other one sooner or later, the convection is not really moving, just flaring up in various places. Turning still around 29W.
We will most likely merge these, but if an invest is designated we will lock these both.
For now, this blob is the one circled, but the models want to merge both features...
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Michael
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cycloneye
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Re: Blob at 30w (Is invest 90L)
This is now invest 90L. Go to Active Storms forum to continue the discussions.
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Ivanhater
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Re: Blob at 30w
So far, 12 Euro is out to 144 hours. Seems about the same strength as last night's run at this time as it waited to develop it.
However, the ridge looks stronger so far and is further south
However, the ridge looks stronger so far and is further south
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Michael
Re: Blob at 30w (Is invest 90L)
How are invest labeled? Started with 9xL but this one could be 22L. I am sure there is a rhyme or reason.
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