Hate to say this but... NHC coverring up GFS/Fabian?

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Hate to say this but... NHC coverring up GFS/Fabian?

#1 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 30, 2003 6:30 am

OK I posted this on another board but feel it needs some more expert intrpretation. from the way it seems to me, they dont want us to know what the GFS is sayyin---I am hoping for correction on this as this is the way it appears to me, the NHC is tryying to avoid concern from US EC residents basied on GFS post below...


As MWatkins said, they may be filterring out the public view of Hurricane fabian and making it appear as if it's missing the system...

GFS link from 00Z last night +6hrs (likely the model the nhc used in their discussion at 03z) http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_006s.gif ...if doesn not work, copy/paste.

It shows no fabian in 6 hrs (0600z today)--it initialized with a 1012 area of lower pressure at about the area fabian was. It never picks up on fabian being it wasnt a storm to begin with according to this model

from 11pm last night discussion http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2003/di ... .010.shtml?

ONLY THE GFS
MODEL MOVES FABIAN DUE WESTWARD FOR FIVE DAYS. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED JUST A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED GUIDANCE.

How does the GFS model show fabian moving west for 5 days when it says theres no Fabian according to that model? Do they see something we dont see?

Something does not add up
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obxhurricane
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#2 Postby obxhurricane » Sat Aug 30, 2003 6:35 am

Oh yeah, I saw a large group of black helicopters flying around last night near nhc. Also, I've heard that the Navy has been seeding clouds secretly in the deep tropics in an attempt to stop the formation of tropical cyclones.


:wink:
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wxman57
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BS

#3 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:41 am

obxhurricane wrote:Oh yeah, I saw a large group of black helicopters flying around last night near nhc. Also, I've heard that the Navy has been seeding clouds secretly in the deep tropics in an attempt to stop the formation of tropical cyclones.


:wink:


What a bunch of BS, the only plausible explanation is the Bermuda Triangle or space aliens. :wink:
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:56 am

IMO, since the GFS loses Fabian and keeps it weak .... of course, it'll steer it west since it would follow the mean low level flow.

SF
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Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 30, 2003 8:44 am

OK, that makes since, thanks... this explains why the NHC is throwing the GFS out.
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