TROPICAL STORM GRACE HAS FORMED

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vbhoutex
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TROPICAL STORM GRACE HAS FORMED

#1 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:32 pm

FLT LEVEL AT 43KTS. SHIP AND OIL RIG ALSO MEASURING TS FORCE WINDS
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#2 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:37 pm

Blimey - was the quick or is it just me??? Could reach Cat 1 maybe now?
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#3 Postby galgal » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:40 pm

Hi folks, I am new to this forum and am totally an amateur weather watcher...I live on Gavlatraz....considering how quickly Grace formed, is there a significant possibility of her turning stronger on us to hurricane? Unfortunately (at times like these) :? I am one of the east enders here....oops I meant west enders <blushing>
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#4 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:41 pm

Very quick - when people were posting this morning that it would only be a rain event here in Houston - now we are dealing with a TS thats still 200 + miles off shore - time to get even stronger....

any thoughts or comments?
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#5 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:42 pm

I'm learning too, and while I'm not ready to say Grace is likely going to become a hurricane, I wouldn't be surprised if it became one just before it makes landfall. The fact that it has strengthened as quickly as it has would make me concerned if I lived in Texas.

Right now I'll guess 60 to 65 mph TS at landfall, but I'm going to wait and see what happens.

-Andrew92
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#6 Postby DJJordan » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:58 pm

I'm with Andrew on this .... I just think there isn't enough time to reach Hurricane Status but I could be wrong.... This did develop real quick this morning. I first started to see the flareup of convection shortly before I went to bed at 3:45 CDT this morning. At that point I knew it was developing. Still gonna bring heavy rain... but now wind might become a factor too along with some sort of storm surge.
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#7 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Aug 30, 2003 1:59 pm

if forward speed was to decrease further that would increase the chances of a cat1 - currently heading NW at 12mph - is this likely to decrease anyone?
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#8 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 30, 2003 2:05 pm

I doubt Grace reaches hurricane status ... the movement to the NW is relatively quick towards the coast plus the overall hybrid look to the system. Big time heavy rain producer and some gusty winds on the eastern side of the storm.

This storm looks so much like Allison with the exception of the slow movement.

SF
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#9 Postby DJJordan » Sat Aug 30, 2003 2:15 pm

By the way Andrew I recently relocated to Houston from Grand Rapids this past year lol.
If this were to happen to become a Hurricane it would have to get it's act together real real quick.
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#10 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Aug 30, 2003 2:18 pm

COOL!!! I actually just go to college in Grand Rapids, but I'm there so much that I would rather consider that my home town on message boards, especially since my home town is really small.

Anyway, this may pull a slight "Allison," but probably not as much flooding this time, at least I hope not. Probably no hurricane, but it will fight to become as strong as it can.

-Andrew92
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#11 Postby DJJordan » Sat Aug 30, 2003 2:22 pm

Totally agree with that anxious for the 5pm EDT 4PM CDT update.
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