My Fabian Forecast #5

[DelStormLover]

NOTE THIS FORECAST IS NON-OFFICIAL AND IS INTENDED FOR RECREATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO THE NHC/TPC FOR THE OFFICIAL FORECAST(S) FOR HURRICANE FABIAN.
AT 5PM, AST, THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE FABIAN WAS CENTERED NEAR 19.1 NORTH, 57.8 WEST.
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS.
MOVEMENT IS TO THE WNW AT 10 KNOTS.
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS AT 942 MILLIBARS.
THE FORECASTED SETUP FORECAST FOR FABIAN IS UNCANNILY SIMILAR TO THAT OF THE LONG ISLAND EXPRESS HURRICANE OF 1938.
ALTHOUGH THE NHC IS FORECASTING A TURN AWAY FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST, FABIAN HAS STAYED ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FORECASTED TRACK ENVELOPE.
THE LIKELY AREA OF US AND CANADIAN LANDFALL, IF ANY, WILL MOST LIKELY BE FROM CAPE HATTERS, NORTH CAROLINA,TO SYDNEY, NOVA SCOTIA. THE STATE MOST LIKELY TO BE HIT BY FABIAN IS MOST LIKELY MASSACHUSETTS.
IF ONE IS TO EXTRAPOLATE THE NH FORECASTED TRACK, IT WOULD SEEM TO INDICATE A MAINE LANDFALL. THIS WOULD BE A FIRST IN MY BOOK.
FABIAN BEARS SOME SIMILARITY'S TO THE CHESAPEAKE-POTOMAC HURRICANE OF 1933, THE LONG ISLAND EXPRESS HURRICANE OF 1938, HURRICANE BOB IN 1991,AND HURRICANES CONNIE AND DIANE IN 1954.