Tiny Circulation ESE of Windward Islands (Is gone)

[Gustywind]

Cycloneye is that this twave who is expected to bring a significant change to the weather this weekend?... Because of our Pro Mets of Meteo-France Guadeloupe expected nice rain and even tstorms Saturday and especially Sunday. That will be good news with the pretty severe drought.

Yes,this is the wave.

So we have to watch it but for the umbrellas we could wait a bit . Off topic, seems the SAL is trying to diminish steadily moisturizing the atmosphere slowly and surely allowing to see more well defined twaves with attached lows. Let's wait and see.

[colbroe]

This wave seems to be having a second life with convection building as the hours go by , some rainy weather for the islands this weekend .

[colbroe]

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 20n54w 14n53w to a 1010 mb low pressure center that is near 9n50w.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convective precipitation is from 10n to 13n between 51w and 55w.

[Gustywind]

Not much change but progresses westard...

000
AXNT20 KNHC 131746
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI JUL 13 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20N54W 14N53W...
TO A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 9N50W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION IS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 51W AND 55W.

[Gustywind]

Convection come-back? Quite possible...

[colbroe]

A tropical wave extends from 17n56w to 9n53w moving W at 20 kt. The wave axis lies within a surge of deep layer moisture on
total precipitable water imagery. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the wave axis. A 1010 mb low is centered on the base of
the wave axis near 9n53w where rain and showers are within 120 nm of the low center.

[floridasun78]

the wave round 10n and 40 west got bigger per hours that look like going toward islands by tue http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 140535
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...


TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 18N57W TO 8N53W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT.
THE LOW IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE AND HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM THE
ANALYSIS. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A NARROW BAND OF DEEP MOISTURE
AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 59W FROM
17N-20N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF 56W FROM 10N-13N.

[cycloneye]

Ok,we can let this thread go down the page(s) now that the low is gone by not replying. We can continue replying about the wave and effects from it at the Caribbean thread.

viewtopic.php?f=24&t=85676&hilit=&p=2239659#p2239659

[Gustywind]

Ok,we can let this thread go down the page(s) now that the low is gone by not replying.

Gone for the moment, yeah, but let's continue to monitor it in case of...

[Gustywind]

Last weather discussion on this feature, as the low dissapeared...

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141045
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES EXTENDS FROM
20N60W TO 9N56W MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
NARROW BAND OF DEEP MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 56W-59W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM OF A
LINE FROM 12N60W OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 16N61W TO
21N62W.