A possible Hurricane Georges Track???

wow · #2 Postby **wow** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 6:17 pm

i'd call that the southern extreme situation. it's possible, as always! :wink:

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 6:20 pm

No that is not a relaiable track for Isabel as it is going to be well north from Georges where it entered the caribbean and made landfall in Puerto Rico.

PTrackerLA · #4 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 6:20 pm

I would say a track more like Andrew's is more likely that that one, as far as the progression of Isabel while over the Atlantic.

#5 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 6:26 pm

I agree with PTrackerLA. Isabel is just too far north.

#6 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:52 pm

IMHO, a Georges scenario is unlikely. Areas west of Pensacola are probably safe from the Cape Verde storms coming up from the SE for this season, although a storm spawned in the Gulf is certainly not out of the question. As for Isabel, I don't see how she can get very far west of the Florida peninsula, if at all, without a rather abrupt northward turn per several runs of the GFS today. By around the 18th to the 23rd of September we should start to see a major amplification pattern developing across the lower 48 bringing a real taste of fall weather down the plains. Isabel will take the flow out in front of that, and unfortunately, endanger a yet to be determined area of the extreme eastern Gulf or the east coast.

Colin · #7 Postby **Colin** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 9:57 pm

I really doubt it, but hey, anything is possible in the Tropics! :o

Sean in New Orleans · #8 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Sep 08, 2003 10:15 pm

I'm more concerned with the Andrew path, which has been on my mind watching this system. Time will tell. I'm watching, but, again, the storm is very far away, still, so we have plenty of time to watch nature unfold its' intentions.

#9 Postby **Bolebuns** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:06 am

I mentioned the possiblity of a George track the other day at HurricaneCentral. But it appears that that senario is becoming less likely, at least according to a few of the experienced posters here.

ColdFront77 · #10 Postby **ColdFront77** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:43 am

I agree with most others here, as well... A path similar to Georges would be the most
southern route, which isn't expected.

#11 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 11:13 am

bump....

JCT777 · #12 Postby **JCT777** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:16 pm

At this point, it looks like Isabel's track will be further north than Isabel. Plus there is a chance that Isabel could make a right turn at or before it reaches Florida and hit the Carolinas and/or further up the coast.

ColdFront77 · #13 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Sep 10, 2003 1:26 am

As I mentioned in another thread, several minutes ago... it appears, as of now, that Isabel may take a track similar to Georges in direction, not in position.

A possible Hurricane Georges Track???

A possible Hurricane Georges Track???

A trough will likely stop any repeat of Georges

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