Looking better for the northern islands

#21 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 11:50 am

Msbee already the eye has reached 20n and still is climbing without a west turn so you there in ST Marteen dont have to worrie about hurricane landfall nor tropical storm force winds as when it passes ST Marteen it will be 150 or more miles to your north.But still watch her just in case it does something crazy but as my thread says looking better by the hour for us.

wrkh99 · #22 Postby **wrkh99** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 11:51 am

watch the wsw movement down the road

#23 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:21 pm

WSW movement may not happen after all and if so it will not be a dramatic thing as long she continues to climb above 20n and beyond.

rob8303 · #24 Postby **rob8303** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:28 pm

Cycloyneye, I doubt this storm will ever turn west. I don't think it will even affect CONUS. You agree? BTW, are you as shocked as I am that it's now moving NW?

#25 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:37 pm

Well rob maybe the forecasters at NHC may be but I am not as from last night I noticed the trend more north than what the models projected and the NHC said too.As I type it is at 20.2n.

rob8303 · #26 Postby **rob8303** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:38 pm

Cycloneye, is it time to begin discounting CONUS hit then?

#27 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:42 pm

The EC must pay attention to the progress of Isabel but if the unexpected happens if the latitud climbing continues as the ridge is not as strong than forecasted she may pay another not welcomed visit to Bermuda????

#28 Postby **msbee** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:47 pm

thnaks for the update cycloneye
now if she does take a wsw track,. how far south would she go from where she is now? are the forecast models indicating anything on that?

#29 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:54 pm

Well msbee if it takes that WSW jog it wont amount to much problem because being so north already above 20.2 north as I type there wont be any problems at all for the northern islands and the same situation will happen when Fabian moved NE of the islands big swells crashing the beaches in the northern islands and that will be all.The models are not showing a prounaunced WSW turn now from yesterdays runs.

wrkh99 · #30 Postby **wrkh99** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 12:58 pm

Rob this storm is not a fish !

#31 Postby **msbee** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 1:09 pm

thanks cycloneye
that's good news..so far

#32 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 09, 2003 2:46 pm

msbee as I see Isabel this afternoon loops I can say to you that the islands are in the all clear as it has not made the west turn before 20n and as it continues to climb in latitud above 20n it is well north from Fabians track right now so there in ST Marteen no problems at all except the big swells.

ColdFront77 · #33 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Sep 10, 2003 1:53 am

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:This says different.

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlsto ... large.html

cycloneye wrote:Here is the NHC forecast track.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 1453W5.gif

A friendly reminder: The Weather Channel and local media outlets create their graphics
using the latitude and longitude points from the National Hurricane Center.

Looking better for the northern islands

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