12z Nogaps develops Low

#1 Postby **Vortex** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:39 pm

near 12/40 and generally heads towards the islands with a turn more northerly at the end of the period. However, at that time ridging begins to develop north of the storm.

http://met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/nogapstc2.c ... =Animation

Rainband · #2 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:46 pm

Thanks for the info :wink:

JetMaxx · #3 Postby **JetMaxx** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:46 pm

I've noticed that on the long range GFS the past few days....one run it's there, the next it isn't.....just have to watch and see what develops.

Rainband · #4 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 6:47 pm

JetMaxx wrote:I've noticed that on the long range GFS the past few days....one run it's there, the next it isn't.....just have to watch and see what develops.

Yep..trends right Perry :wink:

Stormsfury · #5 Postby **Stormsfury** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:13 pm

The MM5 also developed that low as well (noticed that when I was looking at Isabel earlier)

SF

Rainband · #6 Postby **Rainband** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:17 pm

Stormsfury wrote:The MM5 also developed that low as well (noticed that when I was looking at Isabel earlier)

SF

Something to wait and see and watch what happens :wink:

#7 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Sep 16, 2003 7:24 pm

There is TREMENDOUS wind shear over that disturbance now as a sharp trof digs southward in Isabel's wake. Upper-level winds are absolutely screaming across the area from the west and southwest. It is the leading edge (southeast part) of the upper-level trof that is enhancing convection associated with a weak tropical wave. Chances of development are quite remote. Certainly, it can't develop until that trof moves out, and that isn't happening any time soon. Look elsewhere for development.

12z Nogaps develops Low

12z Nogaps develops Low

Shear

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