Here is the our next guest more east of TD4. Let's wait and see what could happens with this one.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE AUG 18 2015
..TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED OFF THE AFRICAN COAST ALONG A 1009 MB
LOW CENTERED NEAR 15N18W. THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS EXTENDS FROM
20N18W TO 11N17W...MOVING W AT ABOUT 05-10 KT. TPW IMAGERY
DEPICTS A MOISTURE MAXIMA SURROUNDING THIS WAVE AND LOW AND A
700 MB TROUGH IS OBSERVED ALONG 18W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 17W-22W.
Tropical Wave at 15N 18W with 1009 low pressure
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182346
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 18 2015
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE FAR E TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 19W FROM
11N-9N MOVING W 10-15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SURFACE LOW
IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY
SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE.
HOWEVER THE LAST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INTRUSION
OF DRY AIR N OF 15N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.
AXNT20 KNHC 182346
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE AUG 18 2015
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE FAR E TROPICAL ATLC EXTENDS ALONG 19W FROM
11N-9N MOVING W 10-15 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SURFACE LOW
IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY
SHOWS THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE.
HOWEVER THE LAST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INTRUSION
OF DRY AIR N OF 15N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191041
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2015
A TROPICAL WAVE IS EAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH AXIS NEAR
21W...MOVING W AT 5-10 KT OVER THE PAST 21 HOURS. CIRA LAYER
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOW THE WAVE IS WITHIN A MODERATE
MOIST ENVIRONMENT EXTENDING FROM THE SURFACE TO 700 MB.
HOWEVER...METEOSAT ENHANCED IMAGERY SHOW SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...WHICH IS KEEPING THE WAVE DEVOID
OF CONVECTION.
AXNT20 KNHC 191041
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2015
A TROPICAL WAVE IS EAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH AXIS NEAR
21W...MOVING W AT 5-10 KT OVER THE PAST 21 HOURS. CIRA LAYER
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOW THE WAVE IS WITHIN A MODERATE
MOIST ENVIRONMENT EXTENDING FROM THE SURFACE TO 700 MB.
HOWEVER...METEOSAT ENHANCED IMAGERY SHOW SAHARAN DRY AIR AND
DUST IN THE WAVE ENVIRONMENT...WHICH IS KEEPING THE WAVE DEVOID
OF CONVECTION.
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northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
This wave in behind Danny has been affected by SAL. I won't write it off, but the wave will have some struggles ahead to survive.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N22W TO 10N24W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EVIDENT NEAR THE WAVE AXIS WITH THE
METEOSAT EXPERIMENTAL ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING
SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST SURROUNDING THE FEATURE. EVEN
SO...TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A
LARGE PLUME OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. 700 MB
STREAMLINE ANALYSIS CLEARLY SHOWS THE WAVE AXIS WHILE 850 MB
RELATIVE VORTICITY INDICATES A MAXIMUM ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH
AXIS EXTENDING FROM 21N22W TO 10N24W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EVIDENT NEAR THE WAVE AXIS WITH THE
METEOSAT EXPERIMENTAL ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING
SAHARAN DRY AIR AND DUST SURROUNDING THE FEATURE. EVEN
SO...TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A
LARGE PLUME OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. 700 MB
STREAMLINE ANALYSIS CLEARLY SHOWS THE WAVE AXIS WHILE 850 MB
RELATIVE VORTICITY INDICATES A MAXIMUM ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.
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