New vortex message=Pressure down to 953 mbs 97 kts se quad

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145561
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

New vortex message=Pressure down to 953 mbs 97 kts se quad

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:36 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml?

From 955 to 953 not a big drop but is not rising and that could mean she is still very tenasious fighting the dry air and may have something left before landfall.Also eye is open to the SE.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Sep 17, 2003 8:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 690
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 3:06 pm
Location: Ogden, NC
Contact:
Contact Bane

#2 Postby Bane » Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:42 pm

thanks for the info. still looks like a potential wobble more to the west
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145561
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:50 pm

Now that is close to the coast any wobble is big to determine a landfall point.
0 likes   
Top
wayoutfront

#4 Postby wayoutfront » Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:56 pm

how fast and how low does the pressure have to drop to be considered exploding?....and what are the repercussions ?
Last edited by wayoutfront on Wed Sep 17, 2003 8:00 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145561
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#5 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:58 pm

Well a la opal down over 10 mbs in a short period of time that is explosive intensification.
0 likes   
Top
wayoutfront

#6 Postby wayoutfront » Wed Sep 17, 2003 8:01 pm

forgive me...but what does that cause the storm to do, beside just get more intense?
0 likes   
Top
Shullate
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 7:20 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC

#7 Postby Shullate » Wed Sep 17, 2003 8:07 pm

With the news of the upper level wind strength and dropping pressure is the likelyhood of Isabel producing tornados any higher? Being close to the front lines I'm understandable somewhat concerned :)
0 likes   
Top
PuertoRicoLibre
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 68
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:38 pm

#8 Postby PuertoRicoLibre » Wed Sep 17, 2003 8:17 pm

I believe the previous number on that quadrant earlier was 80 knots so I have to assume the NE quadrant will also go up from the earlier 115 knots. But will that matter in terms of the intensity at the surface. We'll have to see what else comes up.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#9 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 17, 2003 8:19 pm

wayoutfront wrote:how fast and how low does the pressure have to drop to be considered exploding?....and what are the repercussions ?


Bomb definition. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/marine_def.html

Rapid Strengthening :wink:
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: TomballEd and 36 guests