first of all dont get excited about the mention of the low developing it isnt tropical. More importantly the rain event possibly setting up in advance of more rain later from carrinbean system..could be real wet for the forseeable future or it might be alot of nothing.
SOUTH FLORIDA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
715 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2003
.UPDATE...WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA AT THIS MOMENT. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT SURFACE LOW
FORMING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO JUST OFFSHORE. LATEST GFS
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LOW MAY DEEPEN OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES EAST. UPPER
LEVEL VORT MAX PROGGED BY ALL MODELS TO SWING ACROSS AREA LATE
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AND GFS PUTS HEALTHY UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENT
REGION ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THAT TIME PERIOD. COULD
SEE SLIGHT DIMINISHING TREND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT THEN
REDEVELOPMENT LIKELY LATE TONIGHT. SENT QUICK BROADBRUSHED UPDATE
MENTIONING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ALL ZONES TONIGHT. WILL GET
BETTER LOOK AT DATA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS AS EVENING SOUNDINGS
AND REST OF MODELS TRICKLE IN TO DETERMINE IF ADDITIONAL CHANGES
AND/OR FINE TUNING IS WARRANTED TO THE FORECAST
Interesting AFD
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Interesting AFD
0 likes
