90L invest for western caribbean

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 1:07 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

This system is slowly organizing and recon may go tommorow afternoon but this one wont be a fish at all as Juan and TD#16 are.

JCT777 · #2 Postby **JCT777** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 1:17 pm

It will be interesting to see what happens with this system.

GulfBreezer · #3 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 1:20 pm

Our local mets here in the panhandle are mentioning it in every weather report as something to "keep an eye on" They don't usually do that, most systems are usually described as "nothing for us to worry about right now" Things that make you go hmmmmmmm :?

Lindaloo · #4 Postby **Lindaloo** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 1:29 pm

GulfBreezer wrote:Our local mets here in the panhandle are mentioning it in every weather report as something to "keep an eye on" They don't usually do that, most systems are usually described as "nothing for us to worry about right now" Things that make you go hmmmmmmm :?

They are doing that here too, especially on the radio weather forecasts. lol.

#5 Postby **Lowpressure** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 1:38 pm

It is sitting in the spot that the central gulf coast hates to see. Still no LLC, but that could change quickly.

Rainband · #6 Postby **Rainband** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 2:33 pm

We will wait and see :o I'm not concerned..I live in the BUFFER zone :lol:

#7 Postby **alicia-w** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 3:39 pm

GulfBreezer wrote:Our local mets here in the panhandle are mentioning it in every weather report as something to "keep an eye on" They don't usually do that, most systems are usually described as "nothing for us to worry about right now" Things that make you go hmmmmmmm :?

Aint that the truth!! "Something to keep an eye on" always perks up my ears, just like that magic "80% chance of rain" means its raining like cats and dogs and not likely to let up any time soon. :roll:

#8 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 3:53 pm

It's looking healthier by the hour although somewhat limited convection. It does appear to be drifting NW and organizing. UL winds are favorable and SST's still plenty warm. The only fly in the ointment for this developing TC will be the CONUS trough which will bring strong UL winds from the west over the weekend, this could hold it in check from becoming much more than a strong TS especially if it gets turned toward the NE and the west coast of FL. It would have less time over water in this track. If it moves off to the west as the BAMM model is indicating it would be over water longer, have to miss the trough and then find itself back in favorable UL winds again and then lookout New Orleans to the Panhandle of FL.

#9 Postby **vbhoutex** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 3:56 pm

Lindaloo wrote:
GulfBreezer wrote:Our local mets here in the panhandle are mentioning it in every weather report as something to "keep an eye on" They don't usually do that, most systems are usually described as "nothing for us to worry about right now" Things that make you go hmmmmmmm :?

They are doing that here too, especially on the radio weather forecasts. lol.

I'm kind of surprised the locals in your area seemed to be concerned about this system. Unless the fronts/troughs expected through the South over the next 3 days turn around and head back North I don't think it is likely that even the Florida panhandle has anything to worry about. The first one has already cleared this area and is headed your way.

southerngale · #10 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 4:00 pm

Well I know it's not coming here!!

PCBeach · #11 Postby **PCBeach** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 4:09 pm

Big front coming with lows on Tuesday here in the 50's. Don't see how this mess could ever get this far N.

Looks like a rain event for Central and S. florida.

Aquawind · #12 Postby **Aquawind** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 4:17 pm

I am really surprised how fast things fired up after Isabel :o ..3 systems to end the month..geesh so much for the 4 more I predicted 2 days ago.. :lol:

#13 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 4:36 pm

Looks like nothing more then a major rain event for whoever gets this system(Florida perhaps).

Lindaloo · #14 Postby **Lindaloo** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 4:45 pm

Hey David... I did not say they were concerned... I said they were mentioning it.

#15 Postby **Frank P** » Fri Sep 26, 2003 5:24 pm

sure looks like it has a circulation center near 18.0N and 83.9W... at least in the mid levels and perhaps even at the surface... system at the moment appears to be slowing moving off to the NW, best guess would be around 10 mph... models want to take it north and then northeast... sounds reasonable to me with the numerous fronts expected to be in the northern gulf coast area... at what intensity it achieves remains to be seen... one model wants to take it more to the west but my gut feeling based on what is expected should make this a central florida event....

90L invest for western caribbean

90L invest for western caribbean

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