sub tropical low

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bocavice
Tropical Low
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sub tropical low

#1 Postby bocavice » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:19 pm

Is the low a threat to south or central Fl? Any input would be great?
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:27 pm

I believe it is Boca.. Rain and winds the concerns.. Rain more than winds.. But 1st.. we need to see if it develops.. Just my humble opinion..
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bocavice
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re low

#3 Postby bocavice » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:31 pm

Thanks John did you notice the flare up in the central Bahamas just north of Cuba?
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stormchazer
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Re: sub tropical low

#4 Postby stormchazer » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:31 pm

bocavice wrote:Is the low a threat to south or central Fl? Any input would be great?


I'm not sure if at this point there will be any greater threath then typical FL strong summer storms and beach erosion with the higher surf.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.

Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:32 pm

Actually I just noticed it.. Why do you ask..?
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bocavice
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flareup in central Bahamas

#6 Postby bocavice » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:34 pm

Hey Jara did you notice the convection in the Bahamas north of Cuban coast tonight?
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bocavice
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flareup

#7 Postby bocavice » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:36 pm

I'm wondering if their is another low forming in the C Bahamas or just an extention of the one 300 off of the Cape
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stormchazer
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#8 Postby stormchazer » Sat Nov 01, 2003 9:48 pm

I think that is just convection trailing off from the surface trough leading to our disturbance's low pressure center.

Here is a excerpt from the 8pm TWD:
A 1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N67W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING ALONG 26N65W 23N67W THEN W THROUGH THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE TO 20N79W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS E FROM THE
1006 MB LOW ALONG 29N64W 27N58W TO A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
27N52W CONTINUING E TO 28N44W
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.


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