Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll {Final Stats posted}

[Teban54]

Final: 21/11/5, ACE 170. I'm #10 on the list.

[cycloneye]

Final: 21/11/5, ACE 170. I'm #10 on the list.

Made the change.

[cycloneye]

Ok folks, NOAA has released their forecast so there are no more excuses for not comming to participate in this 2022 poll. A reminder that those who have preliminary numbers and stay that way when the poll closes on May 31 at midnight EDT, will consider them as final.

[Category5Kaiju]

Ok, I am now ready to make my final prediction.

I am anticipating a bunch of shorties, so I will also increase my NS total to 22 (if 2021 could get 21 NSs despite the basin wide shutdown after Victor, which I do not see happening this year due to the lack of a potent Atlantic Nino, then I cannot see why 2022 would be unable to surpass this). Additionally, while I will keep my hurricane count at 10 and my major hurricane count at 5, I am going to increase my ACE to 195. I think that we may get the chance to see at least a few very long-lived Cape Verde storms (with the wet Caribbean, I am also anticipating at least one Cat 4/5 Caribbean cruiser, which would add to this ACE count surely). Much of the reason why I am being so bullish now is because the MDR seems to be warming up very healthily as of recently (before, the MDR sst anomalies seemed to the the only thing that could be seen as having the ability to cap this season's activity), and I feel that this may indicate the WAM beginning to assert its dominance rather than a mere fluctuation. Combined with the firmly locked in La Nina base state, I definitely think 2022 may be one of the more favorable seasons I have tracked since 2017; it definitely has a high ceiling imho.

[cycloneye]

Ok, I am now ready to make my final prediction.

I am anticipating a bunch of shorties, so I will also increase my NS total to 22 (if 2021 could get 21 NSs despite the basin wide shutdown after Victor, which I do not see happening this year due to the lack of a potent Atlantic Nino, then I cannot see why 2022 would be unable to surpass this). Additionally, while I will keep my hurricane count at 10 and my major hurricane count at 5, I am going to increase my ACE to 195. I think that we may get the chance to see at least a few very long-lived Cape Verde storms (with the wet Caribbean, I am also anticipating at least one Cat 4/5 Caribbean cruiser, which would add to this ACE count surely). Much of the reason why I am being so bullish now is because the MDR seems to be warming up very healthily as of recently (before, the MDR sst anomalies seemed to the the only thing that could be seen as having the ability to cap this season's activity), and I feel that this may indicate the WAM beginning to assert its dominance rather than a mere fluctuation. Combined with the firmly locked in La Nina base state, I definitely think 2022 may be one of the more favorable seasons I have tracked since 2017; it definitely has a high ceiling imho.

Done.

[hurricanes1234]

Well we all know what I was waiting on before making my prediction. I think I'm gonna go with 14-21 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes. Lol just kidding.

23/11/5 it is.

[cycloneye]

Well we all know what I was waiting on before making my prediction. I think I'm gonna go with 14-21 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes. Lol just kidding.

23/11/5 it is.

You are #67.

[DorkyMcDorkface]

Bumping my numbers up again: 19-9-4, ACE of 165.

(and that's my final answer Regis )

[cycloneye]

Bumping my numbers up again: 19-9-4, ACE of 165.

(and that's my final answer Regis )

Done.

[Yellow Evan]

21/9/5 ACE 170 Final.

[cycloneye]

21/9/5 ACE 170 Final.

Done.

[hcane27]

14/6/2 , ACE 150

[cycloneye]

14/6/2 , ACE 150

You are #68.

[ScottNAtlanta]

20/10/6 ACE 187

[cycloneye]

20/10/6 ACE 187

You are #69.

[Evil Jeremy]

I moved out of FL last year and haven't been paying attention to the tropics since. That being said,

18/10/4

Happy early new year, stay safe out there y'all.

[cycloneye]

I moved out of FL last year and haven't been paying attention to the tropics since. That being said,

18/10/4

Happy early new year, stay safe out there y'all.

#70 on the list.

[JetFuel_SE]

Finalizing my prediction. Number 41 on the list.
26/11/5 ACE:190

[cycloneye]

Finalizing my prediction. Number 41 on the list.
26/11/5 ACE:190

Done.

[Stormybajan]

Definitely was waiting on the NOAA forecast AND this specific date a week before the Hurricane season starts .
In any case, I see a very active season but not hyperactivity! Even though the MDR is plenty warm, until this stubborn subtropical warmth we've had since 2018 disappears I dont see any crazy activity occurring this season. As is the case in modern times, expect a lot of shorties being named.

For the 2022 Hurricane season im going with : 21-9-5 ACE: 152