Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll {Final Stats posted}

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Teban54
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 713
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#181 Postby Teban54 » Tue May 24, 2022 11:18 am

Final: 21/11/5, ACE 170. I'm #10 on the list.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#182 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 11:37 am

Teban54 wrote:Final: 21/11/5, ACE 170. I'm #10 on the list.


Made the change.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#183 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 11:59 am

Ok folks, NOAA has released their forecast so there are no more excuses for not comming to participate in this 2022 poll. :D A reminder that those who have preliminary numbers and stay that way when the poll closes on May 31 at midnight EDT, will consider them as final.
3 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2145
Age: 20
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle --> Phoenix --> Virginia Beach

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#184 Postby Category5Kaiju » Tue May 24, 2022 12:39 pm

Ok, I am now ready to make my final prediction.

I am anticipating a bunch of shorties, so I will also increase my NS total to 22 (if 2021 could get 21 NSs despite the basin wide shutdown after Victor, which I do not see happening this year due to the lack of a potent Atlantic Nino, then I cannot see why 2022 would be unable to surpass this). Additionally, while I will keep my hurricane count at 10 and my major hurricane count at 5, I am going to increase my ACE to 195. I think that we may get the chance to see at least a few very long-lived Cape Verde storms (with the wet Caribbean, I am also anticipating at least one Cat 4/5 Caribbean cruiser, which would add to this ACE count surely). Much of the reason why I am being so bullish now is because the MDR seems to be warming up very healthily as of recently (before, the MDR sst anomalies seemed to the the only thing that could be seen as having the ability to cap this season's activity), and I feel that this may indicate the WAM beginning to assert its dominance rather than a mere fluctuation. Combined with the firmly locked in La Nina base state, I definitely think 2022 may be one of the more favorable seasons I have tracked since 2017; it definitely has a high ceiling imho.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#185 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 12:46 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:Ok, I am now ready to make my final prediction.

I am anticipating a bunch of shorties, so I will also increase my NS total to 22 (if 2021 could get 21 NSs despite the basin wide shutdown after Victor, which I do not see happening this year due to the lack of a potent Atlantic Nino, then I cannot see why 2022 would be unable to surpass this). Additionally, while I will keep my hurricane count at 10 and my major hurricane count at 5, I am going to increase my ACE to 195. I think that we may get the chance to see at least a few very long-lived Cape Verde storms (with the wet Caribbean, I am also anticipating at least one Cat 4/5 Caribbean cruiser, which would add to this ACE count surely). Much of the reason why I am being so bullish now is because the MDR seems to be warming up very healthily as of recently (before, the MDR sst anomalies seemed to the the only thing that could be seen as having the ability to cap this season's activity), and I feel that this may indicate the WAM beginning to assert its dominance rather than a mere fluctuation. Combined with the firmly locked in La Nina base state, I definitely think 2022 may be one of the more favorable seasons I have tracked since 2017; it definitely has a high ceiling imho.


Done.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2876
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Southern Caribbean

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#186 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue May 24, 2022 12:54 pm

Well we all know what I was waiting on before making my prediction. I think I'm gonna go with 14-21 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes. Lol just kidding. :lol: :lol:

23/11/5 it is. :)
2 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#187 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 1:05 pm

hurricanes1234 wrote:Well we all know what I was waiting on before making my prediction. I think I'm gonna go with 14-21 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes. Lol just kidding. :lol: :lol:

23/11/5 it is. :)


You are #67.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
DorkyMcDorkface
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 413
Age: 24
Joined: Mon Sep 30, 2019 1:32 pm
Location: Over Yonder

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#188 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Tue May 24, 2022 2:33 pm

Bumping my numbers up again: 19-9-4, ACE of 165.

(and that's my final answer Regis :wink: )
1 likes   
Floyd 1999 | Isabel 2003 | Hanna 2008 | Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Isaias 2020

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#189 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 2:57 pm

DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Bumping my numbers up again: 19-9-4, ACE of 165.

(and that's my final answer Regis :wink: )


Done.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 14760
Age: 23
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Norman, Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#190 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue May 24, 2022 3:03 pm

21/9/5 ACE 170 Final.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#191 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 3:10 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:21/9/5 ACE 170 Final.


Done.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

hcane27
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 221
Joined: Tue Jan 31, 2006 7:33 pm

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#192 Postby hcane27 » Tue May 24, 2022 3:12 pm

14/6/2 , ACE 150
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#193 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 3:50 pm

hcane27 wrote:14/6/2 , ACE 150


You are #68.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1464
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#194 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue May 24, 2022 4:23 pm

20/10/6 ACE 187
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#195 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 24, 2022 4:36 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:20/10/6 ACE 187


You are #69.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5454
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#196 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue May 24, 2022 11:30 pm

I moved out of FL last year and haven't been paying attention to the tropics since. That being said,

18/10/4

Happy early new year, stay safe out there y'all.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#197 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 25, 2022 4:27 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:I moved out of FL last year and haven't been paying attention to the tropics since. That being said,

18/10/4

Happy early new year, stay safe out there y'all.


#70 on the list.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

JetFuel_SE
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Thu Apr 30, 2020 3:57 pm

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#198 Postby JetFuel_SE » Wed May 25, 2022 5:39 am

Finalizing my prediction. Number 41 on the list.
26/11/5 ACE:190
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 127525
Age: 65
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#199 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 25, 2022 7:08 am

JetFuel_SE wrote:Finalizing my prediction. Number 41 on the list.
26/11/5 ACE:190


Done.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Stormybajan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 399
Joined: Thu May 20, 2021 3:21 pm
Location: Windward Islands

Re: Storm2k 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

#200 Postby Stormybajan » Wed May 25, 2022 11:06 am

Definitely was waiting on the NOAA forecast AND this specific date a week before the Hurricane season starts :lol: :lol: .
In any case, I see a very active season but not hyperactivity! Even though the MDR is plenty warm, until this stubborn subtropical warmth we've had since 2018 disappears I dont see any crazy activity occurring this season. As is the case in modern times, expect a lot of shorties being named.

For the 2022 Hurricane season im going with : 21-9-5 ACE: 152
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], Hammy, kevin and 20 guests