Stratton23 wrote:18z GFS long range starting to see that favorable MJO passage making its mark in the atlantic with some development in the bay of campache, probably will be gone on the next run, but it is a sign that an active period is on the horizon
Not much in the cards until at least the 2nd week of June, early season activity, whether active or not, isn't a predictor of later season activity. The stars need to align to crank up the activity and remember warm water is just one ingredient to make it happen. Fortunately, there is plenty to get in the way of hurricanes. pacific waters are cooling, which isn't ideal for the Atlantic side of things. Best thing you can do is prepare and if you are on a budget, build your supplies now over time.