Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (Is INVEST 93L)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (Is INVEST 93L)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 17, 2024 6:37 pm

And yet, another one is in the line for this weekend.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Image
3 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Category5Kaiju
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3570
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2020 12:45 pm
Location: Seattle

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#2 Postby Category5Kaiju » Mon Jun 17, 2024 6:53 pm

Keeping my eyes peeled for this one. Early indications, especially the GFS, seem to suggest that this could be a much stronger system than PTC1 will be.
2 likes   
Unless explicitly stated, all information covered in my posts is based on my opinions and observations. Please refer to a professional meteorologist or an accredited weather research agency otherwise, especially if serious decisions must be made in the event of a potentially life-threatening tropical storm or hurricane.

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2684
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#3 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Jun 17, 2024 6:53 pm

I was briefly wondering why our little red PTC was surrounded by a lemon. Makes me think of the strawberry lemonade I just had. :lol:
6 likes   
"But it never rained rain. It never snowed snow. And it never blew just wind. It rained things like soup and juice. It snowed mashed potatoes and green peas. And sometimes the wind blew in storms of hamburgers." -- Judi Barrett, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs

User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2979
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#4 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jun 17, 2024 7:17 pm

Fairly decent model consensus on this one... definitely bares watching.
0 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

User avatar
StPeteMike
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 394
Joined: Thu Jun 07, 2018 11:26 pm

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#5 Postby StPeteMike » Mon Jun 17, 2024 8:13 pm

Some of y’all thought the season started off too slow and Mother Nature said “try me”.

2 name storms before the end of June will convince me we will go through all the names for sure this season.
2 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:18 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Lagreeneyes03
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 477
Joined: Mon Dec 09, 2013 10:53 am
Location: Luxurious Lake Grapevine

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#7 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:23 pm

Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.
1 likes   
I'm a Princess, not a forecaster.

sphelps8681
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 720
Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2007 5:37 pm
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#8 Postby sphelps8681 » Mon Jun 17, 2024 9:31 pm

StPeteMike wrote:Some of y’all thought the season started off too slow and Mother Nature said “try me”.

2 name storms before the end of June will convince me we will go through all the names for sure this season.


No I think she said hold my beer!! LOL!!
0 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2319
Age: 29
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#9 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Jun 17, 2024 11:34 pm

BOC is cranking so far this June. Always the hotbed in June.
1 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#10 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 18, 2024 4:56 am

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#11 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 18, 2024 6:47 am

8 AM:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Edwards Limestone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 393
Age: 35
Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
Location: Smithson Valley, TX

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#12 Postby Edwards Limestone » Tue Jun 18, 2024 11:55 am

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.


Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion are still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.
Last edited by Edwards Limestone on Tue Jun 18, 2024 12:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
7 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4506
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#13 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jun 18, 2024 12:05 pm

Edwards Limestone wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.


Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion is still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.


Yep. Been saying that for years.
3 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15934
Age: 56
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#14 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Jun 18, 2024 1:03 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.


Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion is still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.


Yep. Been saying that for years.


SETX checking in. 8-)

GOM is definitely looking like it will have a busy June/July.

(Edited to add -- Wow! It's been over a decade since I last posted? Whew! Yes, it's still me. Less active than before, but still here. Good to see some new faces.)
6 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6631
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/20)

#15 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Jun 18, 2024 5:48 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Edwards Limestone wrote:
Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion is still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.


Yep. Been saying that for years.


SETX checking in. 8-)

GOM is definitely looking like it will have a busy June/July.

(Edited to add -- Wow! It's been over a decade since I last posted? Whew! Yes, it's still me. Less active than before, but still here. Good to see some new faces.)

Here is quite the coincidence, (I know this is off-topic) - literally 2 days ago I thought about your username handle and "Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)" as your location entry lol. I wasn't even on S2K when I thought of it! I never thought you were going to post on here again, welcome back :) .
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/30)

#16 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 18, 2024 6:44 pm

8 PM up to 30%:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

LearnedHat
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 77
Joined: Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:17 am
Location: Keller, TX

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/30)

#17 Postby LearnedHat » Wed Jun 19, 2024 6:56 am

Any update on this potential second system? Need a whole summer of these things pounding the Texas/upper Mexican coast to help the restoration/revitalization project on my land.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/30)

#18 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 19, 2024 7:04 am

8 AM.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/30)

#19 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 19, 2024 1:01 pm

2 PM.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 140448
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (0/40)

#20 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 19, 2024 6:30 pm

8 PM:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form near the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico on Friday. Environmental conditions appear to
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and this system
could become a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Google [Bot] and 29 guests