2026 ENSO Updates
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
Today the main newspaper in Puerto Rico has a extensive report about the incomming El Niño. The main enfasis is the less storms on hurricane season, the dry periods in Caribbean and the warm sst's in MDR or not too warm. Ernesto Morales from the NWS San Juan said that we have to watch those temperatures in the MDR for any possible formation east of the islands.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
Big WWB comming from GFS / ECMWF and their ensembles.
GFS
GEFS
ECMWF
EPS
GFS
GEFS
ECMWF
EPS
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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dexterlabio
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
I believe SOI is more of "indicative" than "predictive." But if we are really going to have a basin-wide strong El Niño by JJA, we should at least start seeing very negative daily SOI values around April or May.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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mixedDanilo.E
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
Interesting that both the GEFS and EPS extended stall the MJO out in Phase 8 long term.
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