Close up visible loop........link

#1 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:44 pm

Looks as if my take on this system early yesterday is coming to fruition........

Looks like a surface low is closing, TD by tomorrow if not tonite!

Click on....GOES EAST VISIBLE STORM RELATIVE..

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... pical.html

The Dark Knight · #2 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:46 pm

Thanks for the link....!!!!!!!!!

kevin · #3 Postby **kevin** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:51 pm

I agree Dean. Looks like a llc might be 'trying' to form.

#4 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:52 pm

You can clearly see a center of circulation now near 57.5w 12n. Looks to be a surface circulation, regardless of qScat.

lilbump3000 · #5 Postby **lilbump3000** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:54 pm

They going to do what they do every year. When they decided to upgrade it its going straight to tropical storm status.

#6 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:55 pm

Looks to be moving slightly north of due west or wnw from what I can make out.

rbaker · #7 Postby **rbaker** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:55 pm

looks to me like our first td, has definite circulation, all we need now is a west wind report

#8 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 3:59 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:They going to do what they do every year. When they decided to upgrade it its going straight to tropical storm status.

Agree, why this isn't already desgnated a TD or at least by 5:30 ET will blow my mind. If you watch out ahead of the overall system you can clearly see LL cumulous moving eastward toward the circulation and all other LL vectors around the storm are also rotating inward. If this same looking system was in the EPAC they would have already call it a TD, but because of the media attention anything gets out in the Atl. they seem to be hesitant in my opinion.

Guest · #9 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:24 pm

Looks Good to me ,It looks like it spinning alittle

Finally something to watch

Renata · #10 Postby **Renata** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:26 pm

Isn't the "LLC" displaced from the convection? If so, it can't be a TD, can it?

lilbump3000 · #11 Postby **lilbump3000** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:27 pm

Spinning a little? This system been spinning for a few hours now. Has a very well defined spin to.

Guest · #12 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:31 pm

This is the first time i looked at the loop I didn't realize it HAD been spinning.

#13 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:48 pm

Renata wrote:Isn't the "LLC" displaced from the convection? If so, it can't be a TD, can it?

The convection appears to be outrunning the possible LLCC near 11.5N, 57W(same general vicinity as posted earlier). It will not be called as long as this is happening and as the convection is beginning to weaken as it appears to be right now. Still needs to slow down to have good possibilities of development. One possibility is that the wave could be "splitting" at this point as I have to agree with Dean that I see a definite WNW component developing with at least part of the system. I think this one is gonna try our abilities as we attempt to get a good handle on what is happening. A

Valkhorn · #14 Postby **Valkhorn** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:52 pm

Still needs to slow down to have good possibilities of development.

I actually don't agree with this statement. Andrew was moving West at 22mph when it became a category five.

So long as everything is favorable it could still develop. Looks like it's doing well so far considering how many people didn't even think there was a LLC a few hours ago

#15 Postby **Stephanie** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:52 pm

I was going to say David. It looked like from the latest satelite that the system split into two - the NW system looking the strongest.

Stormchaser16 · #16 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Mon Jul 19, 2004 5:48 pm

Not looking too good to me right now..... looks like convection is weakening and/or splitting apart, any LLC under that convection is being outrun and exposed now.....

Close up visible loop........link

Close up visible loop........link

ramasis sat loop

Who is online