Interesting Run, the Canadian model is...

[yoda]

http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_am ... _panel.gif

(Provided to me by Tip)

This is a very interesting run. Now, I know this has like a .000000000001% chance of coming true, but this run is like cool.. now if it would only come west some

Oh well, what do you guys think of this run? Could this actually happen IF it developed?

[rbaker]

is interesting, but if trough still persist on don't know how that low could travel up the east coast

[yoda]

There are some concerns along the East Coast, since a 500MB weakness will be
positioned across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley while a powerful subtropical
high (597dcm) is anchored southeast of NWF. This alignment of systems might
allow for the tropical system now moving through the Lesser Antilles to
approach the NC Outer Banks and Delmarva Peninsula (but be careful about accepting
the Global idea of a possible hurricane....).

[The Dark Knight]

Maybe it will be pushed off shore if the Great Lakes storm and the Subtropical high are strong enough.....Just a thought....

[Tip]

It seems as though the Canadian and Euro models want to retrograde the longwave trough back to the midwest allowing the storm to escape to the NE.

[yoda]

I believe so Tip. Just a question though, why isn't the storm impacting the Delmarva area? Is there a block there?

[yoda]

I now see the ECMWF and GGEM also have it posing a threat to the East Coast.. hmmm...

VERY interesting... IF it even comes true.

[Derecho]

The Canadian is the worst global tropical model there is by a fairly significant margin.

Was worst Isabel model, the outlier.

It's one of the least advanced models computationally.