Looks nice southsouthwest of Cape Verde islands

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cycloneye
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Looks nice southsouthwest of Cape Verde islands

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2004 7:27 am

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/pdus/AI/200 ... 0AI1_g.jpg

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_40/anis.html


You remember the bomb that I mentioned a few days ago inside Africa well it emerged and at least the innitial splash into the water it looks interesting to say the least but of course now it has a long way to go as it tracks thru the hurdles.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Jul 20, 2004 1:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:02 am

Looks like some banding trying to form.
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#3 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:19 am

Wow! In your expert opinion, does it have potential? It has the look, but are water temps warm to allow it to stay like this?
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#4 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:20 am

Not even mentioned in 11:30 TWO
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#5 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:21 am

Whoa, how did you get the 11:30 TWO. It isn't on their site yet.
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#6 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:24 am

http://www.atwc.org it gives TWOS and Etc out earlier than it gets on the NHC Site.

013
ABNT20 KNHC 191516
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES EAST OF THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...IS MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD NEAR 25 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BUT THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME. EVEN IF
THERE IS NO ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO BRING
BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
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#7 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:29 am

Ah, thanks! Well, I wouldn't quite agree with that.
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.
Look at it! Oh well, it does say it has potential.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2004 1:06 pm

The wave has been introduced at the 2:05 PM TWD and has a mid level circulation with it.SST'S are in the low 80's where it is but are marginal further west from 20w to 40w north of 12n.
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#9 Postby bahamaswx » Mon Jul 19, 2004 4:13 pm

*bump*

Don't forget about this wave. :)

Convection is on the decrease as of late but it's very well defined with at least a vigorous MLC with it. Quite impressive indeed.
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 20, 2004 1:24 pm

Well after 2 days from when it came out of west africa it still has a well defined mid level circulation and convection is trying to come back after it weakened yesterday.Of course it has to track thru hurdles and we will see in comming days if it survives.

Will this wave be the one we will be talking about very soon that might develop down the road?
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