Unbelievable!!

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hial2
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Unbelievable!!

#1 Postby hial2 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 2:56 pm

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html


Folks, this is what I see happening:

1) A tremendously powerful high building west shoving Francis west and west/northwest..

2) Another area of high pressure quickly building north from the Bahamas

3) A weakening ULL north of Cuba

4) Remnants of Gaston holding back the eagerly awaited life saving shortwave

Conclusion: This storm cannot go north beyond WPB, and it appears that she will cross into the Gulf
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dhweather
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Re: Unbelievable!!

#2 Postby dhweather » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:10 pm

hial2 wrote:http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html


Folks, this is what I see happening:

1) A tremendously powerful high building west shoving Francis west and west/northwest..

2) Another area of high pressure quickly building north from the Bahamas

3) A weakening ULL north of Cuba

4) Remnants of Gaston holding back the eagerly awaited life saving shortwave

Conclusion: This storm cannot go north beyond WPB, and it appears that she will cross into the Gulf


While I've kept quiet about the future beyond 72 hours, today I've noticed
that it appears there is a ULL around 73W 23N, and high pressure over
northern Florida. This would indeed cause what you've said.
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#3 Postby rtd2 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:10 pm

Very good observation...local Met had a simular thought this AM but as we now still too early to tell
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golter

#4 Postby golter » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:11 pm

Gaston will be long gone in 48 hours, what will hold it back then?
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das8929

#5 Postby das8929 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:15 pm

Wow looks like I better batten down the hatches :eek: . Its still too early to tell, but that looks like a very interesting scenario.
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LowMug

#6 Postby LowMug » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:16 pm

My question is ....

Why doesn't the HPC or NHC mention the possibility of this scenario...or better yet how come the models don't pick this up...they have already initialized Gaston last Friday
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hial2
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Golter said..

#7 Postby hial2 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:35 pm

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gaston will be long gone in 48 hours, what will hold it back then?

Nothing...but by then the delay in arrival of the shortwave will make a big difference to a great number of Floridians
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#8 Postby blizzard20 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 3:40 pm

willl not go into the gulf
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Rainband

#9 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:54 pm

I think it's too early to say it won't go anywhere. Everyone needs to watch her :wink:
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#10 Postby wx247 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:12 pm

blizzard20 wrote:willl not go into the gulf


These posts make me laugh...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Anonymous

#11 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:54 pm

Why would it not go into the GOM?

If you look at the latest model runs, 3 out of the legit 6 models, could extrapolate into a eastern GOM re-emergence.

You best look at the models, before making off the wall comments like that.
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