When Frances Enters The Gulf of Mexico...

[Sean in New Orleans]

...the storm will stay East of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite evident with this satellite view, as well.... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
How far West Frances goes once it gets in the Gulf will be interesting to watch, but, it won't be very far, at all. Florida will be the state to keep this system, IMO.

[quickychick]

Sure hope Arredondo is right, and I see what you're pointing out. I will erect a shrine to him posthaste.

[chakalakasp]

Heh -- with the luck Florida has been having lately, it'd probably back up over west side of Florida again.

AFAIK it's not even forecast to head into the Gulf, so why the "when"? Shouldn't you be saying "if" or "on the very rare chance that"?

[Michael]

sounds good what did bob breck say about it coming into the GOM?

[rtd2]

ouote "Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico"




yep same met I heard om wwl 870 this morning say frances wound not get into the gulf..... He's only giving out whats givin to him by forecasters!

[LaBreeze]

All hail Arredondo!

[mobilebay]

...the storm will stay East of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite evident with this satellite view, as well.... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
How far West Frances goes once it gets in the Gulf will be interesting to watch, but, it won't be very far, at all. Florida will be the state to keep this system, IMO.

Famous last words also, the current sattelite pics have absolutly nothing to do with what will be present in 96-120 hours.

[FritzPaul]

Bob Breck said it will be OK to go to Destin for the holiday Wk end.

[~SirCane]

I think Frances is Gulfbound!

[LaBreeze]

Hey, I'm ready for a Destin destination. Should be lots of Louisiana folks there this weekend from what I'm hearing.

[rtd2]

all due repect enough with the local mets...they are only REPEATING THE "OFFICAL FORECAST"

[Michael]

bob breck seriously said that maybe he works for the tourist bureau. just yesterday they ran an ad for a holiday vacation in naples and marco island with the lead in that all the hurricanes are over with.

[Stormcenter]

...the storm will stay East of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite evident with this satellite view, as well.... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
How far West Frances goes once it gets in the Gulf will be interesting to watch, but, it won't be very far, at all. Florida will be the state to keep this system, IMO.

I wouldn't bet the house on that my fellow poster.

[Sean in New Orleans]

...the storm will stay East of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite evident with this satellite view, as well.... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
How far West Frances goes once it gets in the Gulf will be interesting to watch, but, it won't be very far, at all. Florida will be the state to keep this system, IMO.

I wouldn't bet the house on that my fellow poster.

Not going to bet the house...I'm watching, but, I'm quite confident that Frances doesn't have anywhere West of Panama City on it's path plans...could be wrong, but, I don't see it and I've been staring at every cloud now for days from Corpus Christi to San Juan.

[MGC]

I wonder if they (NO forecaters) will be as bullish tomorrow after they read the 11pm discussion and get to look at the new model data that has incorporated the Gulfstream data. Go ahead to Destin but it might get a little windy there......MGC

[Stormcenter]

...the storm will stay East of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite evident with this satellite view, as well.... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
How far West Frances goes once it gets in the Gulf will be interesting to watch, but, it won't be very far, at all. Florida will be the state to keep this system, IMO.

I wouldn't bet the house on that my fellow poster.

Not going to bet the house...I'm watching, but, I'm quite confident that Frances doesn't have anywhere West of Panama City on it's path plans...could be wrong, but, I don't see it and I've been staring at every cloud now for days from Corpus Christi to San Juan.

I understand that but by the time Frances enters the GOM things can and probably will change. As a matter a fact one the models has Frances
making a second landfall over Mobile! Now that is WAY TOO close for comfort for anyone living along the FL.MS or SE La. gulf coast.

[Ixolib]

ouote "Carl Arredondo, Chief Meteorologist on Channel 4 in New Orleans, stated that the system WILL NOT come near New Orleans or anywhere near here due to the strong SW flow over the Gulf of Mexico"




yep same met I heard om wwl 870 this morning say frances wound not get into the gulf..... He's only giving out whats givin to him by forecasters!

And I heard the same thing on WWL. I believe many of these local mets, with a few exceptions, have to play the game with their station's ownership, and will seldom state anything not approved beforehand. I'd imagine they are under strict guidance to avoid saying anything which may impact the station's credibility down the road. SO - they just say the "safe" thing until it's a hit is staring them in the face... Radio/TV Politics.