Take a look at the following..this is after Stacy Stewart's 11am discussion on 8/28 (120 hours ago) and the corresponding NHC track chart:
INITIAL 28/1500Z 17.4N 51.9W 105 KT
12HR VT 29/0000Z 18.3N 53.3W 110 KT
24HR VT 29/1200Z 19.3N 55.3W 115 KT
36HR VT 30/0000Z 20.1N 57.4W 120 KT
48HR VT 30/1200Z 20.5N 59.7W 120 KT
72HR VT 31/1200Z 21.3N 64.6W 120 KT
96HR VT 01/1200Z 22.0N 69.0W 120 KT
120HR VT 02/1200Z 23.0N 73.0W 120 KT
Todays 11am adv had Frances damn near spot on! That is impressive stuff...now we hope (?) the next 48 hours is that solid...if for no other reason, to make sure EC FL battens down and gets out of the way...
I live in East Tampa and we missed Charley by literally 30 miles (damage swath) and I hope the west leaning UKMET does not drive Frances UNDER Tampa Bay area...could have huge implications!
Impressive NHC Verification from 8/28 to today
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