Does this sound right?

pajaraff · #1 Postby **pajaraff** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:29 pm

My hubby was in the other room watching tv and just came out to tell me that the National Hurricane Center's Directors was just on and said that the chances of Francis going south of central FL was pretty slim at this time.
Is this true? I don't always think my hubby listens very well and would like a credible source :roll:

Thanks

yoda · #2 Postby **yoda** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:30 pm

TOTALLY DISAGREE!!! If you live in S FLA you should already be prepared for this DANGEROUS HURRICANE!

canegrl04 · #3 Postby **canegrl04** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:32 pm

Charley tought a big lesson.NEVER assume anything about an approaching hurricane

hurricane_lover · #4 Postby **hurricane_lover** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:38 pm

I live here in Miami, right off campus and am confident enough we are in the clear that i'm not moving from my computer chair.

pajaraff · #5 Postby **pajaraff** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:39 pm

Oh...I totally agree. Been in here for a few days now...watching all of the posts and then comes out and tells me this. I just did a double take and told him thats not what I'm reading. Then said to myself..."Oooo I'm tellin'"!
Thanks guys!

Janie34 · #6 Postby **Janie34** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:39 pm

I can't imagine the director of NHC making a statement like that in this situation. Most likely DH misunderstood it.

bwstg · #7 Postby **bwstg** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:46 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:I live here in Miami, right off campus and am confident enough we are in the clear that i'm not moving from my computer chair.

Well, I hate to tell ya you and your computer will be swimming after this is all over. I hope you have a captains chair. Maybe you can play skipper like Gilligan's Island, and then when your wrong on your posts you can play gilligan. lol

Website · #8 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:48 pm

The cone still goes down to around downtown Miami. The official track takes it inland near Vero Beach but it could easily go farther south. Don't let your guard down yet!!!

WeatherNLU · #9 Postby **WeatherNLU** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:49 pm

Someone else just posted that he said it could go due west. Someone heard something wrong.

ColinD · #10 Postby **ColinD** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 6:53 pm

I saw the interview Norcross did with Mayfield. Your husband misinterpreted what was said. Basically though, he stated that the storm continues to follow fairly close to their forecast and spouted the usual precautions about focusing on the track.

pajaraff · #11 Postby **pajaraff** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:15 pm

Thank you for clarifying! I'm sure that's what he was watching...He was probably hearing what he wanted! :wink:

Janie34 · #12 Postby **Janie34** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:19 pm

hurricane_lover wrote:I live here in Miami, right off campus and am confident enough we are in the clear that i'm not moving from my computer chair.

If it happens that Miami is spared then count your lucky stars and don't make the foolish assumption that it can't happen to your town. It can.

BTW, Miami has a good meteorology program. Maybe you will take a few courses, ja?

Lockhart · #13 Postby **Lockhart** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:26 pm

I live in Miami, and I've been hoping all along for this thing to move more North. That said, I don't think it's unreasonable to say it's a "pretty slim" chance of coming here. The NHC's probability for a hit near Miami is 11% tomorrow (8% tonight, which isn't going to happen). Sure, they may be off, but even if they're off by a factor of 200%, that's only a 1/3 chance of it coming within 65 miles of Miami.

As it is, if they're right, it's a 1/9 chance. I'd say that's pretty slim, but maybe other people have a different definition of slim. Let's hope it misses everyone and goes out to sea.

FloridaDiver · #14 Postby **FloridaDiver** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:51 pm

ColinD wrote:I saw the interview Norcross did with Mayfield. Your husband misinterpreted what was said. Basically though, he stated that the storm continues to follow fairly close to their forecast and spouted the usual precautions about focusing on the track.

I don’t pay to much attention to Norcross since his Floyd Flop, but caught a forecast of his earlier this evening during the evening news.. is it me or is there something wrong with his eyes… he blinks so much it makes my eye’s water… :cry:

kittcat · #15 Postby **kittcat** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:02 pm

I was watchin the Channel 10 news in Palm Beach (ABC). The guy said that they were in discussion with the NHC and they said that they were thinking now a hit further north than 5 pm advisory. Somewhere on the space coast, I believe. He said we'd have to wait a few hours before the official advisory came out. I wonder why Max Mayfield would say what he said and then I hear this from local weather guy. That's the crap that makes me crazy.

#16 Postby **abajan** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:03 pm

Are the blinks at constant intervals? If so, it mightn't be Norcross at all but a clone.

Stem cell research is farther along than you think.

kometes · #17 Postby **kometes** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:20 pm

FloridaDiver wrote:I don’t pay to much attention to Norcross since his Floyd Flop, but caught a forecast of his earlier this evening during the evening news.. is it me or is there something wrong with his eyes… he blinks so much it makes my eye’s water…

I think he wears contacts and when he doesn't sleep or take them out, he blinks like that.