New Ivan forecast... over Jamaica and toward GOM

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frankthetank
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#21 Postby frankthetank » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:20 am

is that because of SA they weaken????? Ive heard this before, but have never real grasped the explanation for weakening in this area (i'm still learning)....
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#22 Postby Frank P » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:32 am

I thought Derek did a pretty good job with Frances and was one of the few mets saying it would cross Florida and go into the GOM early in the forecast periods when the system was still well out into the altantic...... and he pretty much stuck with his basic forecast throughout the duration... Jason Kelly of Panama City TV also forecast early that Frances would cross Florida and hit the panhandle...

I'll be interested on what his call on Ivan will be....
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x-y-no
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#23 Postby x-y-no » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:37 am

Frank P wrote:I thought Derek did a pretty good job with Frances and was one of the few mets saying it would cross Florida and go into the GOM early in the forecast periods when the system was still well out into the altantic...... and he pretty much stuck with his basic forecast throughout the duration... Jason Kelly of Panama City TV also forecast early that Frances would cross Florida and hit the panhandle...

I'll be interested on what his call on Ivan will be....


Agreed. He did a heck of a job with Frances.
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#24 Postby btsgmdad » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:41 am

PTPatrick wrote:It doesnt look like it will go in Frances path...so upwelling will not be an issue. The only thing good I can say for Jamaica is that the area between DR and SA is a bad area for development. It may weaken so here, but often storms hold thier own(and we saw Charley form there).


I was just going to say the same thing. Frances went north of the islands. The waters there a least enough to maintain such a system until it gets to the hottub (the GOM). :roll:
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