Ivan 17/landfall just east of Pensacola; poss. 120kts @ land

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ncweatherwizard
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Ivan 17/landfall just east of Pensacola; poss. 120kts @ land

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:03 pm

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... /ivan.html

It's definitely not going to weaken as an annular. I wouldn't rule out a little intensification, but anyhow this is a Category 4 landfall event coming up here in a few hours.
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#2 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:07 pm

Excellent job!! Any thoughts on Jeanne yet?
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#3 Postby ncweatherwizard » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:14 pm

yoda wrote:Excellent job!! Any thoughts on Jeanne yet?


Here's the forecast from earlier today (right now I'm down to one forecast per storm per day since I only have time for 2 forecasts a day):

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... eanne.html

As slow as the forecast track moves here, it is really difficult to pan out anything ahead of 120 hours, so right now I'm saying northern Bahamas. One thing I am pushing a little is modesty with intensification; there's alot of shear ahead of Jeanne.
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Re: Ivan 17/landfall just east of Pensacola; poss. 120kts @

#4 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:18 pm

ncweatherwizard wrote:http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweather/2004/ivan.html

It's definitely not going to weaken as an annular. I wouldn't rule out a little intensification, but anyhow this is a Category 4 landfall event coming up here in a few hours.


Your way farther east than the NHC. You take the system SOUTH of me. Interesting.
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#5 Postby Pileus » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:21 pm

Weatherwizard, the last two positions are like 15 miles from me. I know
he will be much weaker then, but will my head still be above water?
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#6 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:12 pm

The last thing Western NC needs is more rain!
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