For those that don't know.. that is the deterministic comparison model.... not the FSU superensemble. But it too is good add taking the finer points of many models and coming to a good conclusion.
But for the past three runs the consensus has been spasing out, and looks more like a marker on a siesmograph.
Here is a link to the steering layers... If the Jeanne moves slow enough that high can get ontop of her, and will stop her movement north or eastward. But if she moves more quickly, and the high can not outrun her... then she will out run it, and eventually make it to the same weakness that Karl is going to turn north through....
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html
Finally getting some sleep...
-Eric