The Storm2K Worldwide Tropical Update for 31 January 2005 at 1800Z.
Tropical Depression Noname (95S/MFR-12) (31/1500Z)
Position: 17.5S 65.0E (520 mi NE of Port Louis, Mauritius)
Movement **
Winds: 35 mph
Pressure: 1000 mb / 29.53"
Dvorak Est: 1.0/1.0
Tropical Depression 12R, otherwise known as Invest 95S via NRL, is continuing SW. The system looks more like a monsoonal trough and the strongest winds are confined to the convective bands. Meanwhile, the JTWC has dropped their TCFA for this system.
Tropical Cyclone Lola (96P/FMS-06) (31/1800Z)
Position: 22.7S 176.5W (135 mi NW of Nuku’alufa, Tonga)
Movement: SE at 12 mph
Winds: 50 mph
Pressure: 990 mb / 29.23"
Dvorak Est: 2.5/2.5
Tropical Cyclone Lola (06F), otherwise known as Invest 96P via NRL, is continuing SE, but not without running into some dry air. This dry air is entrained into Lola’s southwestern quadrant. Satellite imagery shows a very weak system and it appears as if FMS may be over-forecasting Lola’s strength. Model guidance indicates slow weakening.
For more information on the aforementioned system(s), go to the Storm2K’s Worldwide Tropical Update website at
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com
Worldwide Tropical Update: 31 January 2005
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