Recon Reports Dennis

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#201 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:55 am

There is an eye and was seen earlier on infraded images. The reason why you don't see because of the blowup convection over the eye, which is help to intensify the storm. You might be able to see it on visible images though.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#202 Postby drezee » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:32 am

Derek Ortt wrote:just checked the latest H-Wind analysis from the HRD... 67KT is the analyzed surface wind, barely of hurricane intensity



Models only say 95mph...

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE DENNIS (AL042005) ON 20050709 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050709 1200 050710 0000 050710 1200 050711 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.3N 83.4W 26.4N 85.2W 28.5N 86.8W 30.9N 88.3W
BAMM 24.3N 83.4W 26.4N 85.2W 28.1N 86.8W 30.0N 88.1W
A98E 24.3N 83.4W 26.1N 85.1W 28.1N 86.1W 30.3N 86.5W
LBAR 24.3N 83.4W 26.3N 85.0W 28.2N 86.6W 29.9N 88.1W
SHIP 80KTS 78KTS 80KTS 79KTS
DSHP 80KTS 78KTS 80KTS 62KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050711 1200 050712 1200 050713 1200 050714 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.3N 89.3W 37.4N 89.0W 38.6N 84.9W 38.3N 83.5W
BAMM 31.9N 88.8W 35.5N 88.1W 37.3N 85.1W 37.7N 84.4W
A98E 32.8N 86.6W 36.8N 85.5W 39.5N 82.1W 39.9N 77.2W
LBAR 31.7N 89.4W 34.6N 90.8W 36.4N 89.1W 35.9N 85.4W
SHIP 71KTS 49KTS 35KTS 26KTS
DSHP 38KTS 28KTS 28KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 24.3N LONCUR = 83.4W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 22.7N LONM12 = 81.6W DIRM12 = 307DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 20.9N LONM24 = 79.5W
WNDCUR = 80KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 100KT
CENPRS = 967MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 240NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 140NM
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#203 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:52 am

80kts is 90mph. This doesn't make sense. Maybe Avila made a mistake.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mf_dolphin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 17758
Age: 69
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
Location: St Petersburg, FL
Contact:
Contact mf_dolphin

#204 Postby mf_dolphin » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:00 am

It does seem strange. If it was a mistake they would have corrected it by now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#205 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:01 am

9am Advisory says 100mph winds. :?:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#206 Postby drezee » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:10 am

000
UZNT13 KWBC 091238
XXAA 59121 99275 70920 08272 99012 278// 07007 00104 26836 07007
92790 22030 10008 85521 18257 11507 70159 08658 09005 50587 06168
20010 40758 16970 24014 30967 31765 22515 25094 41174 20018 20242
51171 21512 15423 653// 19520 88999 77999
31313 09608 81136
51515 10167 01715
61616 NOAA9 1304A DENNIS OB 18
62626 SPL 2753N09199W 1151 WL150 07007 085 DLM WND 18506 011151 M
BL WND 07506=
XXBB 59128 99275 70920 08272 00012 278// 11011 27842 22949 23423
33854 18657 44781 14050 55763 13862 66746 12658 77709 09459 88669
06046 99629 03861 11621 03257 22601 01458 33591 01867 44572 00360
55561 00962 66553 01557 77543 01971 88479 07962 99470 08773 11448
11363 22408 15979 33381 19769 44358 22979 55334 26165 66254 40572
77199 51371 88150 653//
21212 00012 07007 11547 19510 22529 18511 33483 21504 44410 25513
55384 21011 66349 20017 77302 22515 88285 22017 99275 23518 11248
20018 22229 19521 33213 19015 44206 21013 55196 21511 66172 17019
77150 19520
31313 09608 81136
51515 10167 01715
61616 NOAA9 1304A DENNIS OB 18
62626 SPL 2753N09199W 1151 WL150 07007 085 DLM WND 18506 011151 M
BL WND 07506=
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#207 Postby feederband » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:45 am

Is there a plane in dennis now ? if not then when?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11166
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

#208 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:46 am

looking on satellite he seems to be strengthening not weakening, i suspect when i plane goes in it will be stronger
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#209 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:47 am

It will most likely be stronger...The eye is becoming better defined.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#210 Postby feederband » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:55 am

They always say they struggle with intensity they might be struggling now..
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Teban54 and 274 guests