Developing Low -Heavy Rain/Gale Force Winds- Is invest 93L

[Rainband]

special statement at 8pm I think.

[cycloneye]

Regular 8 PM TWO:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 1080 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IS PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE
BAHAMAS...AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE
FALLING IN THIS AREA...AND GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD
AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[NDG]

Saturday, October 08, 2011
Posted at 7:25 PM
Gusts to 50 mph and brief heavy rain
Squalls continue to move over the coastal waters and come ashore between South Volusia and Martin counties. Radar has estimated wind gusts to 50 mph over water and near the coast... and to 45 mph away from the coast. The gusts to 45 mph and heavy rain have reached inland to at least Interstate 95. Continued brief heavy rain has many retention ponds nearing or at capacity with some starting to spill over into the surrounding area. An Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory is in effect until 9 PM.

Posted by Bob Wimmer

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/blog.php

[cycloneye]

This area looks suspisious.

[Evil Jeremy]

This area looks suspisious.

http://i.imgur.com/py0q8.gif

I'm having flashbacks to Claudette from '08.

[NDG]

This area looks suspisious.

Right now is just a mid level vorticity, but that's where the surface low may move underneath or reform underneath it tomorrow, like the euro has been showing, IMO.

[CrazyC83]

Does the radar reach that area? That could provide clues.

[Recurve]

Still a band of 45-50 DBZ convection in a line from KAMX south for 85 nm, it just keeps churning and redeveloping, the radar has been amazing. Must be just killing anybody in Hawk Channel off the Upper Keys and in Biscayne Bay. And it's Columbus Day Regatta weekend.

Thunder's been rummmmbling since like 2 pm. Big cells like 10 miles east of me offshore.



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[Rainband]

This area looks suspisious.

http://i.imgur.com/py0q8.gif

like i said early on this is the area to watch

[AdamFirst]

Another squall line rolling in. Probably going to lose power again.

[blp]

Vorticity increasing off the southeast Florida coast.

[wzrgirl1]

Drove through a very heavy squall in the Weston area. Torrential rains and very gusty winds. Just watched a local news channel that said another 5-6 inches possible over the next 24-36 hours. We are also under a Flood Watch until tomorrow night.

[wxman57]

Looks like it's going to be a subtropical low covering a very large area. Will take a while to organize.

[chris_fit]

Looks like it's going to be a subtropical low covering a very large area. Will take a while to organize.

How much more rain do you think we in E. Central FL will get? Ditches are already over flowing here in Melbourne/Palm Bay

[Canelaw99]

We've had over 6" here in southern Dade, per earlier news reports. I'll be very interested to hear final rain totals. We've had a few windy periods, but mostly just rain. One tornado warning earlier this afternoon, and a flash flood warning through the evening. I will be very happy when the rain is gone

[FireRat]

Man oh man! Just got back from the beach at Fort Lauderdale in the region between Atlantic and Commercial blvd, what a storm! Subtropical, tropical, autumnal, whatever this thing is called at the end, I can say it has kicked butt so far. The winds were somewhere between 35 and 50 mph during the squalls at 10-10:30 pm when I was at the coast to watch the storm. The surf is also quite agitated as if a tropical storm were near. The rain is not letting up here in Broward as of midnight. If there were no satellites and no weather stations farther south like in the old days, this thing could have been confused with a strong Tropical Storm passing to our south! Lookout for flooding by tomorrow if this continues.

-FireRat

[CrazyC83]

If it closes off an LLC it becomes Rina right away probably.

[Sanibel]

Breezy, strong gusts, heavy rain, and steady moderate rain this late afternoon. Cool.

[SouthFLTropics]

This system is just what the doctor has ordered for us in Florida. Something to give us weather enthusists some excitement and something to replenish the water table. Hopefully some of this that is falling will end up in Lake O.

SFT

[floridasun78]

rain stop here in miami at 1:30am