Ummm...sorry.
Akash and Gonu thread
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AnnularCane
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Final warning:
346
FKIN20 VIDP 150425
TC ADVISORY
-----------
DTG: 20070515/0000Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC: AKASH
NR: 04
PSN: N2200 E09230
MOV: NNE08KT
C: 994HPA
MAX WIND: 30KT GUSTING TO 40KT
FCST PSN + 12HRS: OVER LAND
NEXT MSG: 20070515/NO MSG
---------
BOB 02/2007/12 Dated: 15th May, 2007
Subject: Cyclonic Storm “AKASH” crossed south Bangladesh coast.
The Cyclonic Storm “AKASH” over northeast Bay of Bengal moved in a north-northeasterly direction and crossed south Bangladesh coast close to south of Cox’s Bazar early morning of today, the 15th may 2007. The system weakened and lay as a deep depression over Bangladesh and adjoining Myanmar at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 15th may 2007. It is likely to move in a north-northeasterly direction and weaken gradually.
Under its influence, rain/thundershowers at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places are likely over Tripura, Mizoram, Manipur and Nagaland during next 36 hours.Rain /Thundershowers at most places with isolated heavy to very falls are also likely over Assam, Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh during the same period. Squally winds speed reaching 50-60 kmph are likely over Tripura, Mizoram, Assam, Meghalaya, Manipur and Nagaland during next 24 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph are likely along and off West Bengal coast during next 12 hours. The Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast. The Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea.
This is the last bulletin for this system.
346
FKIN20 VIDP 150425
TC ADVISORY
-----------
DTG: 20070515/0000Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC: AKASH
NR: 04
PSN: N2200 E09230
MOV: NNE08KT
C: 994HPA
MAX WIND: 30KT GUSTING TO 40KT
FCST PSN + 12HRS: OVER LAND
NEXT MSG: 20070515/NO MSG
---------
BOB 02/2007/12 Dated: 15th May, 2007
Subject: Cyclonic Storm “AKASH” crossed south Bangladesh coast.
The Cyclonic Storm “AKASH” over northeast Bay of Bengal moved in a north-northeasterly direction and crossed south Bangladesh coast close to south of Cox’s Bazar early morning of today, the 15th may 2007. The system weakened and lay as a deep depression over Bangladesh and adjoining Myanmar at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 15th may 2007. It is likely to move in a north-northeasterly direction and weaken gradually.
Under its influence, rain/thundershowers at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at a few places are likely over Tripura, Mizoram, Manipur and Nagaland during next 36 hours.Rain /Thundershowers at most places with isolated heavy to very falls are also likely over Assam, Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh during the same period. Squally winds speed reaching 50-60 kmph are likely over Tripura, Mizoram, Assam, Meghalaya, Manipur and Nagaland during next 24 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph are likely along and off West Bengal coast during next 12 hours. The Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off West Bengal coast. The Fishermen are advised not to venture into sea.
This is the last bulletin for this system.
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The following posts refer to INVEST 92A in May/June 2007:
435
TPIO10 PGTW 311215
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WEST OF INDIA
B. 31/1130Z
C. 13.3N/7
D. 72.5E/4
E. FIVE/MET7
F. T1.0/1.0/INIT OBS (31/1130Z)
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI LLCC
40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .25 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDS 1.0. DBO DT. PT AGREES
DELEO
[hr]
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.2N 72.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTITSPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH CYCLIC CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. HOWEVER, NEITHER
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY NOR A 310530Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES
A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. INSTEAD, A 310058Z
QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATES STRONG CONVERGENCE ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF
A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF INDIA NEAR 13N. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS REVEALS THE DISTURBANCE IS IN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS RUNNING THROUGH CENTRAL INDIA. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA IS
ENHANCING DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE STRONG MID-LEVEL
CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
435
TPIO10 PGTW 311215
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WEST OF INDIA
B. 31/1130Z
C. 13.3N/7
D. 72.5E/4
E. FIVE/MET7
F. T1.0/1.0/INIT OBS (31/1130Z)
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI LLCC
40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .25 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDS 1.0. DBO DT. PT AGREES
DELEO
[hr]
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.2N 72.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTITSPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH CYCLIC CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. HOWEVER, NEITHER
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY NOR A 310530Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES
A DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. INSTEAD, A 310058Z
QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATES STRONG CONVERGENCE ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF
A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF INDIA NEAR 13N. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS REVEALS THE DISTURBANCE IS IN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS RUNNING THROUGH CENTRAL INDIA. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA IS
ENHANCING DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE STRONG MID-LEVEL
CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 72.7E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 71.4E, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTITSPECTRAL
IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CYCLIC
CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
SHOWN CONSIDERABLE CONSOLIDATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS SHOWN IN A
311726Z AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE AND A 311434Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIROMENT HAS IMPROVED,
WITH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WEAKENING CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA IS
ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1006 MB. DUE TO THE STRONG MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
FAIR.
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 71.4E, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTITSPECTRAL
IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CYCLIC
CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
SHOWN CONSIDERABLE CONSOLIDATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS SHOWN IN A
311726Z AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE AND A 311434Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIROMENT HAS IMPROVED,
WITH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WEAKENING CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA IS
ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1006 MB. DUE TO THE STRONG MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
FAIR.
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WTIO21 PGTW 011030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011021ZJUN2007//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.3N 70.2E TO 16.1N 65.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 010600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.6N 69.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.6N
71.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.7E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH-
WEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED MULTITSPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS
INCREASED LOW LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE
DISTURBANCE. HOWEVER, CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) REMAINS CYCLIC IN NATURE. RECENT PRESSURE FALLS IN THE REGION
ARE ON THE ORDER OF 4 MB IN 24 HOURS, INDICATING A DEEPENING OF THE
SYSTEM. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS IN A
REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. DUE TO FURTHER CONSOLIDATION OF THE
LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
021030Z.//
01/0900 UTC 14.8N 68.5E T2.0/2.0 92A -- Arabian Sea
T2.0 also from JTWC and T1.0 from AFWA.
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011021ZJUN2007//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.3N 70.2E TO 16.1N 65.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 010600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.6N 69.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.6N
71.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 69.7E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH-
WEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED MULTITSPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS
INCREASED LOW LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE
DISTURBANCE. HOWEVER, CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) REMAINS CYCLIC IN NATURE. RECENT PRESSURE FALLS IN THE REGION
ARE ON THE ORDER OF 4 MB IN 24 HOURS, INDICATING A DEEPENING OF THE
SYSTEM. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS IN A
REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. DUE TO FURTHER CONSOLIDATION OF THE
LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
021030Z.//
01/0900 UTC 14.8N 68.5E T2.0/2.0 92A -- Arabian Sea
T2.0 also from JTWC and T1.0 from AFWA.
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
FQIN01 DEMS 010900
SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24 HOURS. FROM 01/06/ 2007 0900 UTC 01 JUNE 2007
PART -I : NO STORM WARNING(.)
PART-II :A LOPAR HAS FROMED OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA (.)
THE OFFSHORE TROUGH AT SEA LEVEL FROM SOUTH MAHARASHTRA
TO KERALA COASTS NOW EXTENDS FROM THE LOPAR TO
LAKSHADWEEP AREA (.)
WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA (VIII)
PART-III : FORECAST
ARB - A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 12 DEG N AND WEST OF 80 DEG E.
I)WIND: SW/W 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER -FAIRLY WIDE SPRED RA/TS TO THE N OF 05 DEG.N (.)
(.) REST AREA WX ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III) VISIBILITY -POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV)STATE OF SEA - MODERATE (.)
ARB - A2 ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF 14 DEG. N
I)WIND-SW/W 10/15 KTS BEC. CYCLONIC TO THE EAST OF 67 DEG.E. (.)
II)WEATHER- FAIRLY WIDE-SPREAD TO THE E OF 65 DEG E(.)
REST AREA SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY -POOR IN RA/TS (.) .
IV)STATE OF SEA - SMOOTH TO SLIGHT (.)
BOB - A3 BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N AND EAST OF 80 DEG E
I)WIND- MAINLY SW-LY 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER -FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS TO THE E OF 90 DEG.E (.)
REST AREA WX SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY - POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV)STATE OF SEA -MODERATE (.)
BOB-A4-BAY OF BENGAL NORTH OF 10 DEG.N
I)WIND:MAINLY SW-LY 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER -SCATTERED RA/TS TO THE E OF 90 DEG.E (.)
REST AREA WX ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY - POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV) STATE OF SEA -MODERATE (.)
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24 HOURS. FROM 01/06/ 2007 0900 UTC 01 JUNE 2007
PART -I : NO STORM WARNING(.)
PART-II :A LOPAR HAS FROMED OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA (.)
THE OFFSHORE TROUGH AT SEA LEVEL FROM SOUTH MAHARASHTRA
TO KERALA COASTS NOW EXTENDS FROM THE LOPAR TO
LAKSHADWEEP AREA (.)
WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA (VIII)
PART-III : FORECAST
ARB - A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 12 DEG N AND WEST OF 80 DEG E.
I)WIND: SW/W 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER -FAIRLY WIDE SPRED RA/TS TO THE N OF 05 DEG.N (.)
(.) REST AREA WX ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III) VISIBILITY -POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV)STATE OF SEA - MODERATE (.)
ARB - A2 ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF 14 DEG. N
I)WIND-SW/W 10/15 KTS BEC. CYCLONIC TO THE EAST OF 67 DEG.E. (.)
II)WEATHER- FAIRLY WIDE-SPREAD TO THE E OF 65 DEG E(.)
REST AREA SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY -POOR IN RA/TS (.) .
IV)STATE OF SEA - SMOOTH TO SLIGHT (.)
BOB - A3 BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N AND EAST OF 80 DEG E
I)WIND- MAINLY SW-LY 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER -FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS TO THE E OF 90 DEG.E (.)
REST AREA WX SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY - POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV)STATE OF SEA -MODERATE (.)
BOB-A4-BAY OF BENGAL NORTH OF 10 DEG.N
I)WIND:MAINLY SW-LY 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER -SCATTERED RA/TS TO THE E OF 90 DEG.E (.)
REST AREA WX ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY - POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV) STATE OF SEA -MODERATE (.)
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
ARB 0701 has formed. I get the impression from the 0900 MetArea bulletin it was missed off the 1800 bulletin yesterday given it mentions it was around yesterday as well.
ARB 01/2007/02 Dated: 2nd June, 2007
Subject: Deep Depression over East Central Arabian Sea
The depression over east central Arabian sea moved westwards, intensified into a deep depression and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 02nd June 2007 over eastcentral Arabian Sea near Lat. 15.00N and Long 67.50E, about 700 kms southwest of Mumbai. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a west-northwesterly direction.
As the system is moving in a west-northwesterly direction, it is not likely to affect Indian Coast. The system is under constant watch.
[hr]
WTIN20 DEMS 020800
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
--------------------------------
DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 02-06-2007(.)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS
ISSUED AT 0600 UTC BASED ON 0300 UTC CHARTS OF 2ND JUNE 2007 (.)
THE DEPRESSION OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WESTWARDS,
INTENSIFIED INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC
OF TODAY,THE 02ND JUNE 2007 OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA NEAR
LAT. 15.0 DEG.N AND LONG 67.5 DEG.E,ABOUT 700 KMS SOUTHWEST OF
MUMBAI.
CURRENT INTENSITY T2.0 RPT T2.0 SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOWS VERY
INTNESE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.ESTIMATED CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1000 HPA MAXIMUM SURFACE SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30-35KTS
THE SYSTEMIS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE SLOWLY IN A
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION.24 HOURS FORECAST INTENSITY T3.0
RPT T3.0
SEA CONDITION WILL BE VERY ROUGH
ARB 01/2007/02 Dated: 2nd June, 2007
Subject: Deep Depression over East Central Arabian Sea
The depression over east central Arabian sea moved westwards, intensified into a deep depression and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 02nd June 2007 over eastcentral Arabian Sea near Lat. 15.00N and Long 67.50E, about 700 kms southwest of Mumbai. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a west-northwesterly direction.
As the system is moving in a west-northwesterly direction, it is not likely to affect Indian Coast. The system is under constant watch.
[hr]
WTIN20 DEMS 020800
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
--------------------------------
DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 02-06-2007(.)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS
ISSUED AT 0600 UTC BASED ON 0300 UTC CHARTS OF 2ND JUNE 2007 (.)
THE DEPRESSION OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WESTWARDS,
INTENSIFIED INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC
OF TODAY,THE 02ND JUNE 2007 OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA NEAR
LAT. 15.0 DEG.N AND LONG 67.5 DEG.E,ABOUT 700 KMS SOUTHWEST OF
MUMBAI.
CURRENT INTENSITY T2.0 RPT T2.0 SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOWS VERY
INTNESE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.ESTIMATED CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1000 HPA MAXIMUM SURFACE SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30-35KTS
THE SYSTEMIS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE SLOWLY IN A
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION.24 HOURS FORECAST INTENSITY T3.0
RPT T3.0
SEA CONDITION WILL BE VERY ROUGH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Cyclonic Storm Gonu is born...
ARB 01/2007/03 Dated: 2nd June, 2007
Subject: Cyclone Storm “GONU’ over East Central Arabian Sea
The deep depression over eastcentral Arabian sea moved westwards, intensified into a cyclonic storm “GONU” and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 02nd June 2007 over eastcentral Arabian Sea near Lat. 15.00N and Long 67.00E, about 800 kms southwest of Mumbai. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a west-northwesterly direction.
ARB 01/2007/03 Dated: 2nd June, 2007
Subject: Cyclone Storm “GONU’ over East Central Arabian Sea
The deep depression over eastcentral Arabian sea moved westwards, intensified into a cyclonic storm “GONU” and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 02nd June 2007 over eastcentral Arabian Sea near Lat. 15.00N and Long 67.00E, about 800 kms southwest of Mumbai. The system is likely to intensify further and move slowly in a west-northwesterly direction.
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
FKIN20 VIDP 021603
TC ADVISORY
------------
DTG : 20070602/1200Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC : GONU
NR : 01
PSN : N1500 E06700
MOV : WNW02KT
C : 992HPA
MAX WIND : 45KT GUSTING TO 55KT
FCST PSN+12HRS : 030000 N1500 E06600
MAX WIND+12HRS : 55KT
FCST PSN+ 18HRS : 030600 N 1530 E06530
MAX WIND+18HRS : 60KT
FCST PSN+ 24HRS : 031200 N 1600 E06500
MAX WIND+24HRS : 65KT
ENDS.
TC ADVISORY
------------
DTG : 20070602/1200Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC : GONU
NR : 01
PSN : N1500 E06700
MOV : WNW02KT
C : 992HPA
MAX WIND : 45KT GUSTING TO 55KT
FCST PSN+12HRS : 030000 N1500 E06600
MAX WIND+12HRS : 55KT
FCST PSN+ 18HRS : 030600 N 1530 E06530
MAX WIND+18HRS : 60KT
FCST PSN+ 24HRS : 031200 N 1600 E06500
MAX WIND+24HRS : 65KT
ENDS.
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HurricaneRobert
- Category 3
- Posts: 812
- Joined: Fri May 18, 2007 9:31 pm
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windstorm99
- S2K Supporter
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- Contact:
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wxmann_91
- Category 5
- Posts: 8013
- Age: 34
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Hurricanes rarely hit Oman, because Oman is part of a desert. Dry air and rain clouds don't mix, so storms typically weaken very rapidly as they approach that area. Sorta like what storms do when they hit the barrier that is the NGOM, except that effect multiplied 1000 times. Suspect this has 24-48 hr of intensification, and then it should begin ingesting that dry air.
windstorm99, thanks for posting that image... very cool perspective. Thanks for sharing. Where did you get it from?
windstorm99, thanks for posting that image... very cool perspective. Thanks for sharing. Where did you get it from?
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
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- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
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- Contact:
FKIN20 VIDP 022210
TC ADVISORY
------------
DTG : 20070602/1800Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC : GONU
NR : 02
PSN : N1500 E06700
MOV : WNW02KT
C : 992HPA
MAX WIND : 45KT GUSTING TO 55KT
FCST PSN+12HRS : 030600 N1530 E06600
MAX WIND+12HRS : 55KT
FCST PSN+ 18HRS : 031200 N 1530 E06530
MAX WIND+18HRS : 60KT
FCST PSN+ 24HRS : 031800 N 1600 E06500
MAX WIND+24HRS : 65KT
ENDS.
TC ADVISORY
------------
DTG : 20070602/1800Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC : GONU
NR : 02
PSN : N1500 E06700
MOV : WNW02KT
C : 992HPA
MAX WIND : 45KT GUSTING TO 55KT
FCST PSN+12HRS : 030600 N1530 E06600
MAX WIND+12HRS : 55KT
FCST PSN+ 18HRS : 031200 N 1530 E06530
MAX WIND+18HRS : 60KT
FCST PSN+ 24HRS : 031800 N 1600 E06500
MAX WIND+24HRS : 65KT
ENDS.
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