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Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)
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tolakram
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - Code Yellow 20%
It's in the graveyard. Can we really expect any development any time soon? I really don't think so, but maybe incredibly favorable conditions will counteract the dead zone.
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M a r k
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Aquawind
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - Code Yellow 20%
tolakram wrote:It's in the graveyard. Can we really expect any development any time soon? I really don't think so, but maybe incredibly favorable conditions will counteract the dead zone.
Oh but were in the middle of a "pattern change"..so anything can happen..
Point Taken though.. 
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Ivanhater
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Re:
Vortex wrote:Developing LLC moving just south of St. Vincent presently...this is going to be a very large cyclone...Invest up for sure later today....
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes
I agree Vortex...this looks to be one LARGE hurricane. Gonna impact quite a few people imo.
Now for track. I do think the trough will have an influence on this system. I believe it will tug it north out of the Caribbean but does it dig deep and turn it NE..or just draw it north toward the northern Gulf coast (climatological favored).
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Michael
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cycloneye
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - Code Yellow 20%
Hey peeps,is now invest 95L. 
Thread is locked.Go to active storms/invests forum to continue the discussions.
Thread is locked.Go to active storms/invests forum to continue the discussions.
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srainhoutx
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - Code Yellow 20%
Regardless of development in the near term, it would not surprise me to see this tagged as an invest in the near future. Never hurts to start running the Hurricane models in this region and with what the Op models are showing IMO.
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Ivanhater
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Re: Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - Code Yellow 20%
Interesting stat from jconsor (pro-met on eastern and S2K)
"only 2 of 32 tropical cyclones that formed or moved into the W. Caribbean (west of 77W) between Sep 20 and 30 had any east of north component to their motion while still in the Caribbean (this includes the motion after Sep 30 of cyclones that remained in the Caribbean). "
"only 2 of 32 tropical cyclones that formed or moved into the W. Caribbean (west of 77W) between Sep 20 and 30 had any east of north component to their motion while still in the Caribbean (this includes the motion after Sep 30 of cyclones that remained in the Caribbean). "
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Michael
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