Disturbed area in East Atlantic (No Development)

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Mecklenburg

Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#121 Postby Mecklenburg » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:46 pm

canetracker wrote:Image
Looks like a wagon train!


wow four storms, if they could get close enough to each other... there may be a fujiwara effect
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cycloneye
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#122 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:46 pm

I Will post this apart from the others.

It tracks almost where I am.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_240l.gif
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#123 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:00z GFS at 24 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif

00z GFS at 42 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_042l.gif

00z GFS at 54 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif

00z GFS at 66 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_066l.gif There is a trio.

00z GFS at 78 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_078l.gif Trio continues showing.

00z GFS at 96 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_096l.gif Two lows now.

00z GFS at 102 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_102l.gif

00z GFS at 138 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_138l.gif Hmm,Caribbean Bound?

00z GFS at 168 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_168l.gif Strong low east of Lesser Antilles

00z GFS at 180 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_180l.gif

00z GFS at 204 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif

System entering Eastern Caribbean Sea with Low Pressure near Martinique.



the run suggests a georges track. Im not so sure. But this is something DEFINITELY needs to be watched. 3 STORMS!?!
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#124 Postby Tampa_God » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:49 pm

nervous tensions rising. Why now? Can't it wait for 2 weeks?
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#125 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:50 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_288l.gif

Second system runs over me literaly.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_324l.gif

Hey Gomers,you are also on bulls eye.
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Mecklenburg

Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#126 Postby Mecklenburg » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:52 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
cycloneye wrote:00z GFS at 24 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif

00z GFS at 42 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_042l.gif

00z GFS at 54 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif

00z GFS at 66 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_066l.gif There is a trio.

00z GFS at 78 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_078l.gif Trio continues showing.

00z GFS at 96 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_096l.gif Two lows now.

00z GFS at 102 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_102l.gif

00z GFS at 138 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_138l.gif Hmm,Caribbean Bound?

00z GFS at 168 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_168l.gif Strong low east of Lesser Antilles

00z GFS at 180 Hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_180l.gif

00z GFS at 204 Hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif

System entering Eastern Caribbean Sea with Low Pressure near Martinique.



the run suggests a georges track. Im not so sure. But this is something DEFINITELY needs to be watched. 3 STORMS!?!


it looks exciting, but at the same time scary if it hits the gulf...
Last edited by Mecklenburg on Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#127 Postby hurricanetrack » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:52 pm

Wonder what happened to the East Coast trough? I cannot find it anywhere....

Seriously though, the pattern is probably going to change and people all across the Basin need to be ready for the potential of some big hurricanes. This is perhaps more true this season than the last two for reasons outlined in the NOAA and CSU updates. The time has come for late night model watching to commence!
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Mecklenburg

Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#128 Postby Mecklenburg » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_288l.gif

Second system runs over me literaly.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_324l.gif

Hey Gomers,you are also on bulls eye.


how come i see a hurricane right in the heart of colombia?
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#129 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:54 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_360l.gif

Makes landfall in the same area where Edouard did.
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#130 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:54 pm

Not liking this run whatsoever...each run has been shifting further west indicative of a strong ridge...
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Mecklenburg

Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support=00z GFS rolling in

#131 Postby Mecklenburg » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:55 pm

cycloneye wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_360l.gif

Makes landfall in the same area where Edouard did.


oh that's bad news for the lone star state
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support

#132 Postby canetracker » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:56 pm

I sure hope this is fantasyland!!! I am not liking this.
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Mecklenburg

Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support

#133 Postby Mecklenburg » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:57 pm

i'm guessing that another strong wave is behind this one... the model sure do make atlantic next week like the tournament of roses bowl
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support

#134 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 08, 2008 11:57 pm

Here is the complete loop of the 00z GFS run.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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Mecklenburg

Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support

#135 Postby Mecklenburg » Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:02 am

oh, we are about to expect two long tracker CV storms by next week... :eek:
Last edited by Mecklenburg on Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Wave emerging Africa and Model Support

#136 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:04 am

Pic at 11:30 PM EDT:

Image
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#137 Postby hurricanetrack » Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:04 am

So we could see a yellow or orange circle somewhere near the CVI by Monday? I guess we're going to find out soon enough!
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#138 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:07 am

if the train develops... the lead system would not have to deal with SAL in all liklihood. The systems behind would be blocking the SAL
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#139 Postby coreyl » Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:08 am

I don't see any invest or tropical depression or tropical storm or hurricane yet so I think some of you'll are getting excited over nothing yet.
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Re:

#140 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 09, 2008 12:09 am

hurricanetrack wrote:So we could see a yellow or orange circle somewhere near the CVI by Monday? I guess we're going to find out soon enough!


Id be getting the team ready Mark, cause i think in about 2 weeks, there will be more than 1 hurricane to chase :eek: ...
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