2020 Global ACE: NATL - 179.8 - EPAC - 76.5 - WPAC - 148.5 - NIO - 19.2

[Blinhart]

I personally believe that we'll end up with 150-170 ACE by the time the season is over. Let's see how I do.

I'm going with in between 200-225.

[toad strangler]

I personally believe that we'll end up with 150-170 ACE by the time the season is over. Let's see how I do.

I'm going with in between 200-225.

That's three times what we have right now. Going WAY OUT on a limb there!

[cycloneye]

So far Teddy is underperforming as it has not intensified faster and has stalled on that. As of the 11 PM EDT advisory, it has gained 4.6 ACE units but it could have been more.

[ElectricStorm]

So far Teddy is underperforming as it has not intensified faster and has stalled on that. As of the 11 PM EDT advisory, it has gained 4.6 ACE units but it could have been more.

He should be able to recover once the EWRC is completed. Then we will see if he has as huge of an eye the HWRF shows

[Hammy]

So far Teddy is underperforming as it has not intensified faster and has stalled on that. As of the 11 PM EDT advisory, it has gained 4.6 ACE units but it could have been more.

He should be able to recover once the EWRC is completed. Then we will see if he has as huge of an eye the HWRF shows

Discussion noted some deep layer shear, no sign of ERC that I can tell though dry air is present.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1306793245427617792

[cycloneye]

It looks like reaching 100 units is a given now with Teddy continuing very strong, Wilfred will get a modest amount and soon to be Alpha may get decent units. And October and November are looming.

[aspen]

It looks like reaching 100 units is a given now with Teddy continuing very strong, Wilfred will get a modest amount and soon to be Alpha may get decent units. And October and November are looming.

Teddy will likely finish with at least 30 ACE, and Alpha could be 5-10 ACE like Sally if it too wanders around as a hurricane. That would be a seasonal total of roughly 105-120 ACE by the time they both finish up, excluding Wilfred and maybe Paulette if it regenerates. I won’t exclude the potential for another major or longer-tracking hurricane during the last two weeks of September that could boost ACE even more.

[Blinhart]

What is the latest on the Ace and the contributions of individual storms?

[Sciencerocks]

I miss the wikipedia page that had the ace measurements by year. They took that part down sadly and so it is far less useful.

Where can I find similar yearly measurements?

[1900hurricane]

I miss the wikipedia page that had the ace measurements by year. They took that part down sadly and so it is far less useful.

Where can I find similar yearly measurements?

CSU has a basin archive page with totals from previous years, although data is only rounded to the nearest tenth and occasionally slightly off. I also have all the data computed and saved.

[gfsperpendicular]

We will probably break 100 ACE today or tomorrow and secure an above-active season quickly after that. ACE/storm has risen to 4.1 or so, thanks to Teddy, but also Paulette and Sally.

[toad strangler]

The rout is on

[cycloneye]

NATL will reach 100 ACE units this afternoon.

[cycloneye]

There you have it.

[Blinhart]

And Paulette is back to get more ACE and will stay for how long this time, and how many other systems are going to form before her LLC is completely destroyed so she can't come back.

[CrazyC83]

23 storms and Teddy has like 1/4 of the total ACE?

[cycloneye]

23 storms and Teddy has like 1/4 of the total ACE?

He has as of 5 AM 25.8 ACE units.

[gfsperpendicular]

Teddy passes Haishen for #1 in NHEM ACE.

[SconnieCane]

WPAC still within striking distance with just one big-dog typhoon. Atlantic looks to quiet down for a while and will probably need at least one longer-lived major hurricane to maintain the lead.