I seems real possible to see at least two more named storms before July is up. That would bring us all the way to J for the beginning of August if it occurs. Absolutely unbelievable.
The wave south of the Cape Verde Islands definately looks like it has a very good chance.
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cycloneye
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EDR1222 wrote:I seems real possible to see at least two more named storms before July is up. That would bring us all the way to J for the beginning of August if it occurs. Absolutely unbelievable.
The wave south of the Cape Verde Islands definately looks like it has a very good chance.
Give the wave south of CV islands some time as still is somewhat broad but if the LLC forms then things will start to organize and as it moves more west over more warmer waters and it has less dust to work with it has a decent chance IMO.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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WeatherEmperor
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Astro_man92
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i've posted this in other treads but i would like it to get noticed because i think it is important
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at1933.asp
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2005.asp
here are the maps for the 1933 and the 2005 atlantic season so far
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at1933.asp
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2005.asp
here are the maps for the 1933 and the 2005 atlantic season so far
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HURAKAN
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Ola wrote:What is weird is that 1933 had NO true long track cape verde system. Nothing formed east of 46 that season and it is still the most active season on record.
That's exactly why I believe that the 1933 hurricane season must likely had 2 or 3 more tropical cyclones than what are records. Furthermore, if in 1933 or any other season before the satellite era, formed near Africa and simply moved north. It will be most likely missed as a tropical cyclone because lack of information. It most have took a ship encounter or a landfall for a cyclone to noticed.
Also, not only 1933, there are many hurricane season before the satellite era that we don't see systems between 45 W and Africa.
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johngaltfla
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HURAKAN wrote:Ola wrote:What is weird is that 1933 had NO true long track cape verde system. Nothing formed east of 46 that season and it is still the most active season on record.
That's exactly why I believe that the 1933 hurricane season must likely had 2 or 3 more tropical cyclones than what are records. Furthermore, if in 1933 or any other season before the satellite era, formed near Africa and simply moved north. It will be most likely missed as a tropical cyclone because lack of information. It most have took a ship encounter or a landfall for a cyclone to noticed.
Also, not only 1933, there are many hurricane season before the satellite era that we don't see systems between 45 W and Africa.
Well stated. Nor do we have data from before the 1850's so who knows, maybe we did have 50 storm seasons in the past and never knew about them. My concern is that cluster near the Windwards. That seems to be ground zero this year.
Any experts have an opinion on conditions in the Central Caribbean for development?
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cycloneye
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The wave slowly is organizing in the eastern atlantic with more convection forming.
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cycloneye
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Wow look now at it.Clearly it is organizing tonight.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Ivanhater
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hey luis, shouldnt this have an invest, it looks darn good right now, i wouldnt be surprised if it becomes a depression tomorrow
Last edited by Ivanhater on Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Yes the south west cap verde wave is organizing at 12N/27W.
You can see some banding feature.
Look-at this picture:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15
You can see some banding feature.
Look-at this picture:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15
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cycloneye
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ivanhater wrote:hey luis, shouldnt this have an invest, it look darn good right now, i wouldnt be surprised if it becomes a depression tomorrow
Agree tonight or tommorow morning an invest will be up.
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Ivanhater
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cycloneye wrote:ivanhater wrote:hey luis, shouldnt this have an invest, it look darn good right now, i wouldnt be surprised if it becomes a depression tomorrow
Agree tonight or tommorow morning an invest will be up.
thanks, ya i would be suprised if they didnt put an invest up soon, im sure you will tell us right away when they do
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wx247
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I want some sleep!!! 
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Goodness, i'm extremely surprised that this doesn't have an invest yet. It's certainly getting it's act together quite quickly. You know what I really enjoy about this season? At my age, tracking storms during late August and September, the peak of the season, becomes difficult because of my amount of homework. Of course, I do anyway. But it's just not as easy as over the summer. But hey, with our potential "H" storm coming along... I've had quite a nice summer of tracking!
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mike18xx
That's not necessarily the case -- since there were no satellites, only surface obs could tell if a storm existed. Many a "long track" storm was only noticed as it approached the Lesser Antilles. Otherwise, the usual Cape Verde storm track is 5-10 degrees lattitude north of the shipping lanes between Africa's "gold coast" and South America.Ola wrote:What is weird is that 1933 had NO true long track cape verde system. Nothing formed east of 46 that season...
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mike18xx
Virtually every wave coming off Africa looks decently-organized, with convection, for a day or two. -- Then most of them fall apart. A few then re-organize.Swimdude wrote:Goodness, i'm extremely surprised that this doesn't have an invest yet.
Given that there's basically only one thunderstorm with this, I think the Navy will give it another day.
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Astro_man92
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